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Prediction markets for Intel

Will macOS Sequoia (15) be the last major version of macOS to support Macs with Intel CPU’s?

Jun 16, 12:16 AMJun 1, 1:59 PM

45.39%chance

3100

OptionVotes

YES

1097

912

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

13322

OptionVotes

YES

1000

975

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.88%chance

161520

OptionVotes

YES

1243

874

Will Intels CPU market share drop below 60% by the end of 2024?

Oct 23, 10:49 PMDec 30, 6:59 AM

36.9%chance

15428

OptionVotes

YES

1049

946

Will Intel's photonics CPUs be available before 2027?

Sep 5, 3:15 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

33.8%chance

783

OptionVotes

YES

209

143

Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?

Feb 5, 1:54 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

23.76%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

289

141

Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?

Feb 5, 5:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.58%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

195

101

Will any chip maker other than NVIDIA, Intel, and AMD create accelerators for Deep Learning and be profitable by 2030?

Sep 24, 10:04 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

81.11%chance

8171

OptionVotes

YES

290

149

Will macOS 16 drop support for intel based Mac’s?

Jun 10, 11:51 PMJun 17, 3:59 AM

52.46%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will an open sourced SOTA LLM be trained on Intel hardware by 2024?

Jun 6, 8:38 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

14.11%chance

9360

OptionVotes

YES

364

133

Intel Corporation (INTC)

Apr 6, 1:24 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

120

OptionVotes

YES

Will Intel discrete GPUs have a marketshare greater than 8% by January 2026

Nov 16, 5:49 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

27.32%chance

445

OptionVotes

YES

135

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