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Prediction markets for FTC

Will the FTC's new non-compete ban be upheld on final appeal?

Apr 24, 11:45 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

37.55%chance

161096

OptionVotes

YES

2466

1654

Will the FTC make any public moves to take antitrust action against Apple before 2025?

Dec 10, 3:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71%chance

21417

OptionVotes

YES

1078

957

Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?

Jul 30, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44%chance

261268

OptionVotes

YES

1011

977

Will the FTC implement their proposal for a federal retroactive ban on non-compete clauses by the end of 2024?

Jan 6, 7:02 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.33%chance

372874

OptionVotes

YES

935

800

Will the FTC or DOJ break up Google, Amazon or Facebook?

Jun 24, 9:22 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

311345

OptionVotes

YES

1067

946

Will the FTC inquiry into Microsoft/OpenAI and Amazon/Google/Anthropic relationships result in important changes?

Jan 29, 8:55 AMFeb 6, 7:59 AM

10.61%chance

142181

OptionVotes

YES

1294

932

Will the FTC force OpenAI to delete any mainline GPT models by the end of 2025?

Aug 9, 3:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.19%chance

152831

OptionVotes

YES

1496

908

Will the US's FTC or UK's CMA investigate the Microsoft/OpenAI deal on competition grounds in the next 12 months?

Oct 13, 8:45 PMOct 2, 3:59 AM

31.63%chance

8125

OptionVotes

YES

203

112

Will the FTC sue Visa before 2025?

Oct 19, 1:04 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

45.06%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

123

Will Lina Kahn and the FTC win a major anti trust case against any big tech company before 2026?

Jan 15, 1:35 AMJan 22, 7:59 AM

48.83%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

Will the Department of Justice file a complaint against X on behalf of the FTC for violating its 2022 consent order?

Dec 18, 1:34 PMDec 25, 8:00 AM

70.3%chance

9121

OptionVotes

YES

243

189

Will the FTC force OpenAI to delete any mainline DALL-E models by the end of 2025?

Aug 9, 3:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16%chance

6170

OptionVotes

YES

243

115

Articles

Latest stories

FTC Bans Noncompete Clauses, Projects 2.7% Growth; Las Vegas Dispute Highlights Impact
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6
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11
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Rising Ransomware Threats Endanger Patient Safety and Hospital Operations
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29 days
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Senators Wyden, Sanders Demand MultiPlan Transparency Amid Private Equity and UnitedHealth Cybersecurity Scrutiny
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15
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Deepfakes Pose Growing Threat to Political Integrity Ahead of General Election
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12
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8
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23
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23
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8
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6
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