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House of Commons News
Top stories
RCMP Chief Warns Against MPs Naming Politicians Accused of Treason and Aiding Foreign Powers
Authors
5
8 days
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Prediction markets for House of Commons
Prediction markets for House of Commons
Will a member of the UK Parliament's House of Commons be known to have used a psychedelic drug by the end of 2024?
Jan 31, 4:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.7%
chance
20
420
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
987
Will the UK have Proportional Representation of the House of Commons by 2030?
Jan 6, 9:23 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.36%
chance
23
634
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1197
937
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
Oct 27, 4:19 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18.81%
chance
10
190
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1105
955
Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 30 seats in the House of Commons in the next UK general election?
Dec 9, 6:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
88.31%
chance
39
2954
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2522
523
[Metaculus] Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?
Jan 1, 10:46 AM
Jan 28, 12:00 AM
95.06%
chance
11
806
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1421
940
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2036?
Nov 15, 4:40 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
16.45%
chance
6
201
Option
Votes
YES
NO
273
73
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2031?
Nov 15, 4:39 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
15.96%
chance
6
186
Option
Votes
YES
NO
336
102
Who will be the "Father of the House of Commons" after the next election?
May 19, 1:08 PM
Jul 4, 9:00 PM
9
3863
Will Sir Lindsay Hoyle still be Speaker of the House of Commons (UK Parliament) by the end of 2024?
Feb 24, 9:36 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
94.9%
chance
6
602
Option
Votes
NO
YES
701
62
Will Liz Truss be a Member of the House of Commons on February 1st 2025?
Jan 17, 5:41 AM
Jan 31, 3:59 PM
14.92%
chance
6
252
Option
Votes
YES
NO
249
50
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2026?
Nov 15, 4:39 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
15.05%
chance
10
503
Option
Votes
YES
NO
372
120
What will happen to the UK before 2050?
Apr 16, 3:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20
1557
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