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Prediction markets for Union

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Dec 22, 2:45 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

14.7%chance

39139883

OptionVotes

YES

4846

3029

[French snap legislative 2024] RN has absolute majority (including in electoral union with other parties)

Jun 9, 11:39 PMJul 5, 9:59 PM

21%chance

3713396

OptionVotes

YES

1940

516

Will IAM 751 members (Boeing Union in Washington) approve an initial strike sanction?

Jun 24, 1:48 AMJul 17, 5:00 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will IAM 751 members (Boeing Union in Washington) approve an initial strike sanction?

Jun 24, 1:51 AMSep 13, 6:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will India institutionalise same-sex marriage or civil unions before 2026?

Oct 17, 1:05 PMJan 31, 3:59 PM

25.84%chance

16413

OptionVotes

YES

1084

959

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

25.47%chance

12169

OptionVotes

YES

1095

954

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?

Mar 31, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.85%chance

14292

OptionVotes

YES

1182

927

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.82%chance

15225

OptionVotes

YES

1018

976

Will US-based white-collar workers across multiple sectors start unionizing by the end of 2024?

May 31, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.25%chance

361791

OptionVotes

YES

1166

921

Will the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?

May 3, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.17%chance

13133

OptionVotes

YES

1003

996

US whitecollar union membership reaches 10M by 2028

Mar 18, 7:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.66%chance

10228

OptionVotes

YES

1019

982

Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?

Feb 2, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.61%chance

251097

OptionVotes

YES

1126

867

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