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Top stories

ICC Postpones Decision on Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant After UK Submission
Authors
6
7 hours
Middle East
Israel
Economics
Dutch Foreign Ministry Summons Israeli Ambassador Over Mossad Espionage Allegations Against ICC
Authors
9
1 day
Israel
Crime
World
ICC Unseals Arrest Warrant for Iyad Ag Ghaly, Convicts Al Hassan of Mali War Crimes
Authors
12
2 days
Africa
Middle East
Economics
UK Labour to Enforce ICC Arrest Warrant for Netanyahu, Says Lammy
Authors
7
4 days
Israel
Crime
World
Netanyahu to Address Congress on July 24 at 2 PM ET Amid Democratic Boycott
Authors
27
4 days
Israel
Crime
World
Israel Considers Sanctions, Settlement Expansion in Response to Spain, Ireland, Norway Recognizing Palestinian State
Authors
12
11 days
Israel
Crime
World
Exclusive: ICC Investigates Four Russian Cyberattacks on Ukraine as Possible War Crimes
Authors
5
13 days
Economics
Crime
Business
Report Accuses Russia of War Crimes in 85-Day Mariupol Siege, 22,000 Civilians Dead
Authors
13
15 days
Ukraine
Crime
World

Prediction markets for International Criminal Court

Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu by the end of 2024?

Apr 29, 12:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.41%chance

23346952

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1524

405

Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu by the end of July 2024?

Apr 29, 4:51 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

23.41%chance

11915192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1324

810

[Metaculus] Will any Israeli officials charged by the International Criminal Court before 2027?

Nov 28, 12:08 AMJan 2, 5:00 PM

89.78%chance

142954

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1725

773

[Metaculus] Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

Nov 18, 8:03 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

85.81%chance

4011597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2098

452

Will Putin stand trial in the International Criminal Court?

Mar 18, 3:41 AMMar 18, 11:59 PM

8.2%chance

191269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

974

931

Will the International Criminal Court (ICC) manage to arrest Putin this year following genocide investigation?

Jan 23, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.38%chance

102049

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1502

932

Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu by the end of September 2024?

Jun 17, 5:32 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

29.72%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Who will the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue arrest warrants for in 2024?

Apr 29, 3:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

243942

Additional withdrawal notifications to the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court before the end of the decade

May 10, 2:36 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

1.52%chance

4231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

524

489

Will an Israeli military/political leader be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court before 2026?

Oct 17, 10:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87.21%chance

416991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

538

504

Should Bibi Netanyahu be charged by the International Criminal Court for actions he has taken since 10/7?

Nov 7, 11:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3830

[Metaculus] Before July, will the ICC issue arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant or Halevi?

May 5, 4:56 PMJul 2, 1:00 PM

6.04%chance

6239086

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40760

4383

Articles

Latest stories

ICC Postpones Decision on Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant After UK Submission
Authors
6
7 hours
Middle East
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Economics
Dutch Foreign Ministry Summons Israeli Ambassador Over Mossad Espionage Allegations Against ICC
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9
1 day
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