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EU Commission News
Prediction markets for EU Commission
Prediction markets for EU Commission
Will the European Commission propose EU regulation banning all types of cages for egg-laying hens by Oct 31st 2024?
Apr 22, 12:24 PM
Oct 31, 11:59 PM
31.53%
chance
8
252
Option
Votes
YES
NO
188
91
Will a lead candidate become Commission President after the 2024 EU election?
May 11, 5:35 PM
Jul 30, 9:59 PM
85.52%
chance
14
543
Option
Votes
NO
YES
358
107
Which alliance will form the 2024 EU Commission? [Metaculus]
Jan 7, 3:36 PM
Aug 31, 9:59 PM
10
899
When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?
Jul 28, 11:52 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
2
26
Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035?
Feb 4, 10:37 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
44%
chance
4
164
Option
Votes
YES
NO
120
97
To what political group will the next EU Commission President belong?
Sep 13, 10:40 AM
Dec 31, 11:36 AM
9
516
Will the EU get a Defense Commissioner following the election?
Mar 4, 6:44 AM
Jul 17, 9:59 PM
66.96%
chance
7
210
Option
Votes
NO
YES
412
336
Will the EU parliament strip Hungary of voting rights?
Jan 17, 1:26 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
16.27%
chance
14
497
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1276
912
Will the US-EU Data Privacy Framework be in force on the 1st of January 2028?
Aug 12, 3:07 AM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
54.06%
chance
3
17
Option
Votes
NO
YES
77
63
When will the EU adopt the Cyber Resilience Act?
Jul 13, 5:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
1160
[Metaculus] Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regul... before October 31, 2024?
Nov 9, 12:16 AM
Nov 2, 6:59 AM
44.58%
chance
4
27
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
116
How many of the FT writers’ predictions for the world in 2024 will turn out to be correct?
Dec 31, 1:48 PM
Dec 30, 9:59 PM
49%
chance
4
208
Option
Votes
YES
NO
99
78
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