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Top stories

Foxconn Faces Scrutiny Over Hiring Practices at Tamil Nadu Plant Amid AI Server Expansion
Authors
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1 day
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Indonesia to Deport 103 Taiwanese After Bali Cybercrime Raid
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Taiwan Monitors Chinese Nuclear Submarine Surfacing in Sensitive Taiwan Strait Near Penghu Islands
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Prediction markets for Taiwanese

Will a Taiwanese, US, Filipino, Japanese or Vietnamese servicemember die confronting the China's military before 2025?

Dec 17, 11:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.34%chance

373991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

812

Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2025?

Aug 9, 3:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.13%chance

17928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1489

886

Will the US accuse the PRC of putting Taiwanese people into Concentration Camps any time through 2028?

Sep 11, 1:10 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

26.45%chance

6155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

92

Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028

Sep 25, 9:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.1%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

93

Will a Taiwanese armed forces pilot defect to China with their aircraft before 2030?

Dec 12, 2:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.86%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

109

Will Petr Pavel (Czech president) meet Taiwanese president in person during his first term

Apr 28, 12:24 PMApr 1, 9:59 PM

34.81%chance

7162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

123

Will China go to war with Taiwan before the DPP loses the Taiwanese presidency

Mar 29, 11:18 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

30.92%chance

7182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

182

Will there be a clash between Taiwanese and Chinese Coast Guard ships in the waters around Kinmen in 2024?

Mar 1, 4:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

31.57%chance

668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

157

At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031

Sep 4, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.15%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

114

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (No) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050

Apr 28, 7:21 PMJan 2, 5:01 AM

49.01%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?

Sep 4, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.99%chance

10520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

587

536

Will the Taiwanese Representative Office in Vilnius change its name in the following year?

Jan 28, 3:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

112

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