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Holden News
Top stories
Thousands of Conservative Chairman Richard Holden's Campaign Leaflets Sent to Wrong Constituency
Authors
7
7 days
Britain
World
Politics
Prediction markets for Holden
Prediction markets for Holden
Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 10:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.46%
chance
12
144
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1060
947
In 2040, will Holden Karnofsky think that donating Open Philanthropy's money so quickly was a tragic mistake?
Mar 4, 1:28 AM
Mar 11, 4:59 AM
15.64%
chance
22
709
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1004
970
Will Holden Karnofsky (Open Philanthropy, GiveWell) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 15, 5:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2.46%
chance
8
620
Option
Votes
YES
NO
723
137
Which famous people will create a market in 2024?
Dec 12, 9:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24
3050
[Megamarket] 80,000 Hours podcast in 2024 prop bets
Mar 8, 9:51 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24
1977
[Add options] Who would be so good that Manifold would vote for them over themselves in a presidential election?
Jun 24, 7:15 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4
86
Who will be guests on the Lex Fridman podcast in 2024?
Dec 24, 9:34 PM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
58
36726
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
Jan 14, 1:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
77.65%
chance
73
12274
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1867
1140
Will Anthropic's RSP security commitments (as of Oct. 28 2023) cause them to pause scaling for at least one month?
Oct 29, 3:47 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
27.35%
chance
28
2107
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1110
945
Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?
Jan 14, 12:54 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
78.3%
chance
15
188
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1119
950
Will advanced AI systems be found to have faked data on algorithm improvements for purposes of positive reinforcement by end of 2035?
Jan 14, 12:51 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
49.8%
chance
5
13
Option
Votes
YES
NO
153
147
Articles
Latest stories
Thousands of Conservative Chairman Richard Holden's Campaign Leaflets Sent to Wrong Constituency
Authors
7
7 days
Britain
World
Politics
Tory Chairman Richard Holden Dodges Questions on Basildon & Billericay Candidacy Safely
Authors
11
23 days
Britain
World
Tory Chairman Richard Holden Refuses to Address 'Stitch-Up' Claims in Abrupt Sky News Interview
Authors
5
23 days
Britain
World
Conservative Chairman Richard Holden Selected as Sole Candidate for Basildon and Billericay Amid Local Backlash, Election on 4th July
Authors
13
27 days
Britain
World
Conservative Chair Ric Holden Faces Backlash Over Basildon & Billericay Candidacy
Authors
6
27 days
Britain
World
Amanda Holden Shines in Stunning Outfits at Variety Club Awards, Faces Criticism, Lands Netflix Deal for Dating Show
Authors
5
2 months
Culture
Simon Cowell's 'honest opinion' on Amanda Holden-Sharon Osbourne feud
Authors
5
2 months
Britain
World
BGT Premiere Sparks Controversy with AI Act and 'Fixed' Golden Buzzer for Sydnie Christmas
Authors
6
2 months
Britain
AI
World
Amanda Holden's Reveals Secrets, Outfits Spark Controversy with Simon Cowell, Sharon Osbourne on Britain's Got Talent
Authors
4
2 months
Crime
Culture
Sharon Osbourne Tells Amanda Holden 'You'll Never Be in My League' Amid Feud, Kelly Osbourne Joins, Holden Cancels Show Appearance
Authors
10
3 months
Britain
Crime
World
Amanda Holden, 53, Nude Radio Stunt at Heart FM Studios Sparks Praise and Criticism
Authors
5
3 months
Culture
Tory Chair Approves £10,000 Salary Top-Up for Deputy Amid Internal Tensions
Authors
5
4 months
Britain
World
Family of 9-Year-Old Holden Armenta Sues Deadspin for Defamation Over Blackface Accusation
Authors
20
5 months
Politics
22 Chicago Bakeries Offer Paczki for Fat Tuesday 2024, Consuls Share Pączki with Mayor Holden
Authors
5
5 months
Chicago
Politics
Tories May Welcome Farage as Poll Shows Labour 25% Ahead; Holden and Johnson on Military Service
Authors
18
5 months
Britain
World
Conservative Party Considers Nigel Farage's Application, Chairman Open to Fighting Russians, Labour Leads by 25%
Authors
4
5 months
Britain
World
British Journalist and Author Anthony Holden Dies at 76, Known for Prince Charles Biography and Tabloid Frenzy
Authors
5
8 months
Culture
Experts Say King Charles III Struggles to Connect with British Public, Queen Camilla Helps. Anthony Holden, 76, Dies. King Charles III Felt Threatened by Meghan Markle and Prince Harry.
Authors
7
8 months
Culture
Poker Author Anthony Holden Passes Away at 76, Remembered for Contributions to the Game
Authors
7
9 months
Poker
Sports
Renowned Poker Author Anthony Holden Passes Away at 76, Leaving Void in Poker Community
Authors
5
9 months
Poker
Sports
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