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Prediction markets for Trade and Industry
Prediction markets for Trade and Industry
In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?
Dec 2, 1:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
45.56%
chance
47
2065
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2035
1332
Will the EU find Apple's App Store changes non-compliant with the DMA?
Feb 22, 11:51 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
73.81%
chance
17
338
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1132
936
LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.
Oct 1, 3:11 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
44%
chance
12
171
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1006
993
What proportion new car/suv/light truck sales will be hydrogen powered in 2030?
Mar 16, 10:57 AM
Jan 31, 10:59 PM
5.97%
chance
20
1975
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2291
742
4) The most advanced closed models will continue to outperform the most advanced open models by a meaningful margin.
Dec 25, 1:33 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
92.3%
chance
37
1358
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1549
911
Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?
Dec 6, 5:38 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 PM
92.54%
chance
10
278
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1278
946
Will my Agile Space Industries options be worth something?
Apr 6, 7:41 PM
Apr 2, 5:59 AM
46.63%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
816
813
Which of the following aerospace/defense companies’ stock will post the best performance during CY2024?
Jan 1, 9:16 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
6
701
Where will the next major breakthrough in AI originate from before 2025?
May 13, 2:47 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
67
3147
Which of the following tech companies’ stock will post the best performance during CY2024?
Jan 1, 11:49 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
12
1140
Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2025?
Apr 8, 8:43 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
23
1540
Who will control Kharkiv on December 31, 2030?
May 12, 9:18 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
93
5211
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8
4 months
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10
4 months
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6
4 months
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