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Top stories

Chinese Cyberespionage Group ChamelGang Uses Ransomware to Attack Critical Infrastructure
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Prediction markets for The Washington Post

Will Robert Winnett be employed as editor of the Washington Post at any time in 2024?

Jun 17, 2:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will Jeff Bezos sell/close the Washington Post by 2030?

Jan 1, 1:43 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

30.22%chance

16352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

959

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?

Dec 17, 3:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.7%chance

532362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

824

🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Biden/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 14, 12:36 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

262807

Which of these Newspapers will publish an article mentioning Manifold before 2024 end?

Oct 10, 5:39 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

9356

Which publications will write about Manifest in June 2024?

Jun 7, 5:35 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

359754

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

18.48%chance

23779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21374

20854

Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)

Sep 19, 8:40 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

14.74%chance

82180270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25289

5040

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

Jun 11, 12:15 AMAug 13, 4:59 AM

10.28%chance

5725913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29479

3521

Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?

Feb 6, 11:18 PMNov 9, 7:59 AM

49.92%chance

742452

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1457

1003

💸🗳️🤑 Will Trump raise more money than Biden before Election Day?

Feb 25, 6:48 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

39.82%chance

421857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

652

If Trump defeats Biden in the 2024 election, will the media consensus be that Biden wasn't right-wing enough?

Nov 20, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.16%chance

13356

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YES

NO

1140

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