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Prediction markets for Nvidia

Will AI accelerators improve in FLOPs/watt by 100x of an NVidia H100 by 2033?

Jun 25, 1:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92%chance

152184

OptionVotes

YES

339

Will Nvidia's share price break $200 in 2024?

Apr 24, 11:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.93%chance

15981454

OptionVotes

YES

1015

833

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76%chance

20707

OptionVotes

YES

1108

940

Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2024?

Jun 19, 3:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.43%chance

21340438

OptionVotes

YES

1344

721

Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of August 2024?

Jun 20, 6:19 AMAug 31, 3:59 AM

39.04%chance

205107088

OptionVotes

YES

1250

800

Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?

Jun 19, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.87%chance

578272

OptionVotes

YES

2302

434

Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?

May 23, 9:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.59%chance

223623

OptionVotes

YES

1478

677

What will the Nvidia stock price be at the end of 2025?

Jun 17, 5:00 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

101660

In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?

Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

34.09%chance

766895

OptionVotes

YES

1626

541

Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2025?

Mar 13, 6:43 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

24.91%chance

342434

OptionVotes

YES

1154

1128

Will Nvidia stock crash before the S&P500?

May 29, 5:23 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

73.74%chance

506926

OptionVotes

YES

1676

597

Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?

Jun 21, 3:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.52%chance

392497

OptionVotes

YES

1072

933

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