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Top stories

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Prediction markets for Navy

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.47%chance

18865

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

878

Will there be a collision between Filipino and Chinese navy vessels by the end of 2024?

Feb 16, 10:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.6%chance

11333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

967

967

Will China's Navy or Coast Guard seize or sink a Philippine boat by the end of 2024?

Aug 16, 7:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51%chance

231199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

861

Will the U.S. Navy announce that it will purchase ships built in Japan or South Korea in 2024?

Apr 9, 2:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.31%chance

211384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1424

884

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

9.57%chance

19741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1475

883

Will there be a collision between US and Chinese navy vessels by the end of 2024?

Jan 2, 12:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.2%chance

16515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1329

926

Will China's navy still be the largest in the world in 2025?

Mar 6, 9:18 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

89.98%chance

10263

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1256

939

Will the US Navy commission a new battleship by the end of 2028?

Feb 27, 10:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.96%chance

242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?

Feb 10, 11:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

15

Will the Noida airport be operationalised before the Navi Mumbai airport?

Aug 29, 1:28 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

81.8%chance

156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

24

Will a Type 32 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy before 2040?

May 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

60

42

Will any navy ship of more than 2,000 tonnes be sunk in ship-to-ship combat before 2036?

May 23, 9:38 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

48.46%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

71

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