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BAYC Community Kicks Off Three-Day BrewFest 2024 with VIP Night One
Authors
6
12 days
NFT
Crypto
Prediction markets for IRL
Prediction markets for IRL
Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035?
May 21, 11:25 AM
May 25, 3:59 PM
50.35%
chance
16
1359
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1007
993
Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?
Dec 23, 7:55 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
55.79%
chance
11
164
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1029
973
Will Destiny do an IRL stream with Aba during 2024?
Jan 15, 10:50 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
57.99%
chance
13
342
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1052
949
Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) a significant component of publicly known SOTA alignment techniques by 2028
Sep 16, 9:35 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
14.13%
chance
15
490
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1236
906
Is Jose Luis Ricon a NPC IRL? (or will he be NPC through 2030)?
Jan 16, 12:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
54.75%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
75
65
Will Canada win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?
Dec 23, 7:55 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
54.91%
chance
3
31
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
79
Will Jose Luis Ricon achieve the IRL equivalent of getting the world to chase him by getting "5 stars" on GTA4?
Sep 22, 12:53 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
10%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
170
37
Will China win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?
Dec 23, 7:55 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
67.47%
chance
5
72
Option
Votes
NO
YES
169
105
Will AI easily replace/blank out 90% of IRL *names* mentioned in all audio recordings contained in a folder by 2024?
Mar 25, 12:35 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.65%
chance
4
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
156
104
Will I get an irl friend before I graduate high school?
Sep 19, 9:47 PM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
84.44%
chance
7
228
Option
Votes
NO
YES
195
102
What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?
Feb 24, 11:34 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
42
5198
@Catnee's Guessing Game
Oct 12, 1:37 AM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
18
1569
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8
8 months
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8
8 months
Tech
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