Central Government News

Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Appeals for Release of 22 Fishermen Detained by Sri Lankan Navy, S. Jaishankar Responds
Authors
11
3 days
India
World
Politics

Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Central African Republic?

Dec 1, 9:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.87%chance

363580

OptionVotes

YES

2112

896

Will the government of the Central African Republic be overthrown before the end of 2024?

Aug 18, 12:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.87%chance

161252

OptionVotes

YES

1246

873

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.2%chance

13607

OptionVotes

YES

1250

613

Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?

Sep 18, 3:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.18%chance

242016

OptionVotes

YES

1317

901

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.67%chance

713462

OptionVotes

YES

1071

891

Will the pope announce the second coming of Jesus Christ within the next 30 days ?

Jun 18, 3:14 PMJul 18, 9:59 PM

1%chance

3910372

OptionVotes

YES

9950

101

Jail or prison on the moon any time through 2033

Sep 20, 5:12 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.14%chance

18735

OptionVotes

YES

1427

933

Will any member of the IDF face disciplinary action over air strikes at Maghazi refugee camp in central Gaza?

Dec 28, 11:46 AMJun 30, 1:59 PM

4.13%chance

181549

OptionVotes

YES

2098

865

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024

Sep 11, 4:23 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

34.38%chance

425

OptionVotes

YES

135

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

Jan 5, 11:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27%chance

297

OptionVotes

YES

103

Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?

Jun 8, 2:50 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

31.47%chance

9288

OptionVotes

YES

237

Will TfL's planned Bakerloo Line extension to Lewisham go ahead?

Mar 11, 8:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

65.12%chance

497

OptionVotes

YES

218

118

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Central Government News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Central Government

Prediction markets for Central Government

Prediction markets for Central Government

Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Central African Republic?

Will the government of the Central African Republic be overthrown before the end of 2024?

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Will the pope announce the second coming of Jesus Christ within the next 30 days ?

Jail or prison on the moon any time through 2033

Will any member of the IDF face disciplinary action over air strikes at Maghazi refugee camp in central Gaza?

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?

Will TfL's planned Bakerloo Line extension to Lewisham go ahead?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Central Government

Prediction markets for Central Government

Prediction markets for Central Government

Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Central African Republic?

Will the government of the Central African Republic be overthrown before the end of 2024?

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Will the UK's AI Foundation Models Taskforce survive the Labor party for a year?

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Will the pope announce the second coming of Jesus Christ within the next 30 days ?

Jail or prison on the moon any time through 2033

Will any member of the IDF face disciplinary action over air strikes at Maghazi refugee camp in central Gaza?