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Prediction markets for BRO
Prediction markets for BRO
Will there be at least one tech bro motorbike gang by 2035?
Sep 25, 2:13 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
62.24%
chance
6
99
Option
Votes
NO
YES
178
126
Will Interactive Broker's prediction market platform have $100mm in volume in 2024?
Jun 30, 4:28 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.95%
chance
14
1417
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10234
9810
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
Apr 29, 8:55 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
52%
chance
257
138795
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1804
1722
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
What words will Merriam-Webster add to their dictionary in 2024?
Apr 2, 3:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
52
7111
Bay Area Bingo: what will I experience/encounter while living here for two months?
Jun 14, 10:48 PM
Aug 18, 6:59 AM
40
9606
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
264
327773
Will Greg Brockman's bullish optimism on AI in 2024 prove true?
Jan 2, 6:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.51%
chance
68
7196
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2346
1013
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
Jul 23, 1:21 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.42%
chance
127
25778
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1557
944
Ohio US Senate Race: Sherrod Brown vs Bernie Moreno
Feb 2, 3:43 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
71
8844
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
Oct 30, 12:45 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
46.67%
chance
71
5007
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1385
1086
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?
Oct 30, 12:42 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15.01%
chance
104
5738
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2794
1808
Articles
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