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Top stories

AI Revolution Threatens Freelance Jobs Across Multiple Sectors with 21% Drop
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Prediction markets for The Wall Street Journal

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.91%chance

13377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

924

Which college will be #1 on the Wall Street Journal college rankings 2025?

Oct 14, 2:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11360

Which of the following media outlets will close or undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?

Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13706

Which of these Newspapers will publish an article mentioning Manifold before 2024 end?

Oct 10, 5:39 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

9356

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

18.48%chance

23779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21374

20854

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

Jun 11, 12:15 AMAug 13, 4:59 AM

10.28%chance

5725913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29479

3521

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM

46.67%chance

5030447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

1169

Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM

21.49%chance

142043

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

960

Credit Suisse insolvent or bankrupt before 2025

Oct 1, 4:55 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

13.95%chance

3812259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1332

880

Will One Of The Top 5 American Newspapers Use The Word "Transbian" By August 2024?

Aug 10, 7:13 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

32.88%chance

431832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

748

Will Elon Musk retain the position of CEO (or ‘Technoking’) of Tesla AND SpaceX until January 1, 2025?

Sep 20, 1:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

83.96%chance

252154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1498

829

LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.

Oct 1, 3:11 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

44%chance

12171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

993

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