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Top stories
Numerai Launches Numerai Crypto to Predict Cryptocurrency Markets with $NMR
Authors
5
13 days
VC
AI
Business
Prediction markets for Medium
Prediction markets for Medium
Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030?
Dec 16, 7:15 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
47.87%
chance
23
746
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1021
974
AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.
Apr 29, 10:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26.75%
chance
10
389
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1187
907
Is "miqu" a leak of the Mistral-medium LLM?
Jan 30, 9:47 AM
Jan 30, 10:59 PM
80.48%
chance
50
5758
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1048
912
Tumbles Financial Complex Interest Rate Forecasting (2024-ish, medium term loans)
Jan 7, 9:03 PM
Feb 3, 6:59 AM
11
2353
When will "Mistral-medium" weights be available?
Dec 11, 12:19 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
14
873
Will medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?
Dec 17, 2:14 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
44.32%
chance
2
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
82
59
Only for men. Would have sex with a woman of medium attractiveness, given no STDs for
Nov 15, 3:17 PM
26
0
Recommend me a piece of medium-to-long fiction I will enjoy, that I have not read yet
Nov 3, 8:57 PM
0
0
Engineer a medium-scale controversy involving Manifold without committing a crime
Dec 12, 5:26 PM
0
0
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Apr 16, 3:28 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
90
12863
What weird unexpected things will correlate with being a conservative in my planned omnibus correlational survey?
Jun 14, 7:38 AM
Feb 26, 12:59 PM
137
21944
How much will AI advances impact EA research effectiveness, by 2030?
Aug 25, 9:10 PM
Feb 2, 7:59 AM
8
282
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Mistral AI's Mixtral Model Outperforms Llama2-70B, Rivals GPT-4 in OpenCompass Evaluations
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7 months
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