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Top stories

Volkswagen to Invest Up to $5 Billion in Rivian, Shares Surge 50%
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Germany Introduces Citizenship Quiz, Requires Declaration of Israel’s Right to Exist
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95-Year-Old Ursula Haverbeck Sentenced to 16 Months in Germany for Holocaust Denial
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IT Glitch Causes German Power Price to Soar to €492.04 per MWh, 22-Month High
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Prediction markets for German

Which parties will form the next German federal government?

Oct 10, 9:30 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

458850

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.76%chance

499505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

698

Will Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW be part of the next German federal parliament?

Oct 23, 5:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.37%chance

6014309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1300

618

Will the current German government abolish/reduce the company car privilege?

Dec 7, 9:56 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

30.45%chance

10296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

985

Will German trains be on time again by 2030?

May 23, 2:10 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

39.13%chance

131721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

802

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.42%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

911

Will Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?

Jan 29, 3:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.28%chance

10441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

954

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.86%chance

11674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

876

Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?

Mar 25, 12:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

20.07%chance

15633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

886

Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?

Feb 10, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.96%chance

19429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

871

What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?

Jan 7, 2:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.09%chance

14383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

961

What share of the vote will the Greens receive in the next German federal election?

Jan 7, 2:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.39%chance

15313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

958

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