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37-Year-Old Woman Seriously Injured by Wolves During Morning Jog in Paris Zoo
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Thousands of Women March in France Against Le Pen's Far-Right National Rally
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Russia Approves New Five-Year Military Logistics Agreement with India
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Macron Calls Snap Election Amid Financial Concerns, Far-Right Surge, Momentous for Markets
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France's National Rally and Leftists Threaten 90% Income Tax Rate, Wealth Tax for Billionaires in Legislative Elections
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Prediction markets for France

[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Feb 26, 8:56 AMAug 12, 10:00 PM

32.88%chance

221150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

948

Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?

Sep 11, 5:52 PMJul 22, 4:59 AM

10051970

Who will be the next president of France?

Feb 6, 11:00 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM

8513813

Will France send troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?

Mar 31, 11:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.03%chance

11511641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1641

492

Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party

Jun 20, 8:10 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

25.06%chance

523104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

935

Marine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.

Oct 14, 5:59 PMApr 30, 9:59 PM

33%chance

383482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

962

Will France have a bigger population than Germany in 2050?

Jun 22, 12:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55.65%chance

11173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

965

Will a rider in the current UCI top 24 World Ranking* win the 1st stage of the 2024 Tour de France?

Jun 18, 9:25 PMJun 30, 4:59 AM

62.34%chance

4303

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1287

777

Will an EPR2 nuclear reactor be running in France by 2036?

Aug 1, 9:49 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25%chance

10731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

942

Will France reach the semi-finals at UEFA Euro 2024?

May 31, 9:53 AMJul 9, 10:59 PM

68.57%chance

422729

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1477

677

After France, will another country make abortion a constitutional right in 2024?

Mar 12, 9:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.13%chance

16287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

914

Will France be one of top 5 countries (number of medals won) in the summer 2024 Olympics (Paris)?

Mar 17, 7:45 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

69.43%chance

13344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

942

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