The tension between China and the U.S. over Taiwan is escalating as experts warn of the potential for a catastrophic war due to China's ambitions to control Taiwan. While a full invasion of Taiwan by China is considered difficult, a coercion campaign to bring Taiwan under Beijing's control is seen as more likely. The U.S. is urged to adopt a strong deterrence strategy to prevent a conflict with China, emphasizing the need to avoid dangerous encounters in the air and at sea.
America and its Asian allies have been preparing for the most extreme confrontation—a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. But a different crisis is even more likely: an incident in the grey zone could escalate out of control https://t.co/5UMafYGg84 👇
Although Taiwanese citizens remain wary of Chinese aggression, few can imagine an overwhelming invasion in the coming months or years, and they do not vote based on the China issue alone, writes @nbbf88. https://t.co/H5GWSXitpJ
A scenario where China takes over Taiwan without a full invasion is scary because it is so plausible. A report from @AEI and @TheStudyofWar walks through how that could happen, and how to prevent it. New from me @NRO https://t.co/teVqJ1pANA
Zhou Bo considers how a full-blown conflict between China and the United States could unfold—and what both countries can do to prevent dangerous close encounters in the air and at sea. https://t.co/D1EntB4u4C
How could the PRC coerce Taiwan and bring the island under its control? ISW and @AEI examined this issue for a year with extensive research into PRC strategic thinking on political warfare, military operations, and hybrid warfare. (1/4) https://t.co/potF0wwKac https://t.co/03d9nrEC90
To prevent a hot conflict with China over Taiwan, the United States will need a muscular deterrence strategy—one capable of convincing Beijing that an invasion would trigger catastrophic consequences, writes @DAlperovitch. https://t.co/t7thZuuKxB
Although China’s ambition to gain control of Taiwan is clear, doing so through force would prove enormously difficult and costly. Find out more from our explainer: https://t.co/ooKmbElWtp
US decision-makers are debating how to prevent the PRC from invading and annexing Taiwan. However, it is more likely that the PRC will pursue a coercion campaign that is short of invasion but nevertheless brings Taiwan under Beijing’s control. (1/3) https://t.co/mAfFYU3uN9
China and the U.S. are one accident and a bad decision removed from a catastrophic war. https://t.co/Qzw70tQtw6