Recent polls indicate a significant shift in UK political dynamics, with Nigel Farage's Reform UK gaining ground on the Conservative Party. A YouGov poll shows Reform UK at 17%, just one point behind the Conservatives at 18%. Labour maintains a substantial lead with 38%. Farage's return as leader has boosted Reform UK's membership by 50% and increased its support among 2019 Conservative voters. These developments highlight growing dissatisfaction with the Conservative Party, which has seen a considerable portion of its 2019 voter base shift allegiance to Reform UK. The latest polls suggest that only 40% of 2019 Conservative voters intend to vote for the party again, with 27% now supporting Reform UK. Farage's leadership has also improved his favorability ratings among former Conservative voters, surpassing those of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. Other polls show Labour at 45%, 43.5%, 42%, 43.6%, and 41%.
Reform UK within 1 point of Tories in bombshell poll win for Nigel Farage The rebranded Brexit Party continues to gain momentum in polls ahead of the General Election. Reform UK is now just one point behind the Tories, according to a new poll. The YouGov survey puts Nigel… https://t.co/wez9uoa0aZ
Nigel Farage’s Reform UK now just one point behind Tories in another blow to the PM https://t.co/gXtD8oImqa
New Verian random sample panel poll (scores v this time last week): Lab 41 (-) Cons 20 (-3) Reform 15 (+6) LD 11 (-1) Green 8 (-) SNP 3 (-) Others 3 (-) Fwk: June 7th-10th Rounding means the changes don't net to zero (nor the sum of %s to 100) https://t.co/OAgXSgClfR
"If the polls remain as they are then on July 5 Nigel Farage, not the Tories, will be able to claim that he is now the main opposition across a large swathe of Labour areas. Reform is already polling ahead of the Tories in parts of the Midlands, the North, and Wales" https://t.co/10FbF9mxSA
Farage Overtakes Sunak in Popularity Among 2019 Conservative Voters, Reform Just One Point Behind Tories https://t.co/MDnmfjwrbJ
"Nigel Farage is now attracting more than one in four of the 2019 Tories who took a punt on Brexit and then Boris Johnson, and is now more popular than Rishi Sunak among these very voters" https://t.co/10FbF9mxSA
Nigel Farage's Reform may leapfrog Tories into second place in key Red Wall seat - survey https://t.co/3U3M0s3Lfm
Cons 10% in Hartlepool constituency poll, where they won 52% in the 2021 by-election. Joint Cons/Reform score is 33% - it was 57% in 2019 (Cons 29, Reform 26 with Labour on 38%). https://t.co/PQZrZoElwp
New Ashcroft poll for the Mail: Lab 43 (-4) Con 21 (-2) Reform 15 (+4) LD 7 (+1) Green 7 (+1) https://t.co/e3z0YJgEg0
Latest Ashcroft polling: Labour 43% (-4) Conservatives 21% (-2) Reform 15% (+4) https://t.co/6qJI9bpiXh
Evidence that *both* major parties are losing votes now, in stark contrast to the last two campaigns. Overall polling average (since y'day): 🔴 LAB: 43.7% (-0.4) 🔵 CON: 21.9% (-0.5) 🟣 RFM: 14.2% (+0.6) 🟠 LDM: 10.0% (+0.4) 🟢 GRN: 5.4% (-) Labour leads by 21.8 points (+0.1) https://t.co/oJiR9bvu31
The poll leads vary dramatically across polls. Not the Labour lead. That's surprisingly stable between 17-26 pts. But the Conservative lead over Reform seems to vary from 1 to 15 points..... https://t.co/2CMRnlUPBf
Reform UK are now just one point behind the Conservatives, and the number of Reform UK Party members has surged to 45,000, a 50% increase since Nigel Farage returned as leader. @ChristopherHope https://t.co/ZQmd6r9Bhi
Nigel Farage's Reform UK now just one point behind Tories in another blow to PM https://t.co/D8vKR9pMP9
Reform is polling higher than Lib Dems among every age demographic. https://t.co/tHKNasJI5S
General election latest: Reform only one point behind Tories, poll shows. Tap below to read lives updates ⬇️ This story is free to read 🔓 https://t.co/IszjRttvHO
The BIG line from the latest Sky News/YouGov poll is obviously @reformparty_uk within 1 point of @Conservatives... BUT... @LibDems are up 4 points Can't help but feel their fun-fuelled campaign is working and these tweets by @EdwardJDavey and @darrenmccaffrey are related... https://t.co/dU61LwHZPr
🗳️ In full: LatestYouGov poll The Conservatives are now only one point ahead of Reform UK, a new poll has found The YouGov survey, conducted on Monday and Tuesday, put Reform on 17 per cent and the Tories on 18 Follow the latest 👇 https://t.co/LQKnBmFlvl https://t.co/oOUqHg1uEW
Lots going on here. Reform within one point of overtaking the Tories. Lib Dem bounce. Conservatives languishing. And Labour enjoying a massive gap with the rest, but continuing to decline in overall voting intention (headline number has been slowly ticking down in poll of polls). https://t.co/ynC5AwcWJS
Nigel Farage’s Reform just a point behind Tories new poll released after Rishi Sunak’s manifesto launch shows https://t.co/T7nPoGhoXt
#Reform Are Just A Point Behind Tories New Poll Released After Rishi Sunak’s Manifesto Launch Shows - @Independent #ToryManifesto https://t.co/nLl7rwEPAo
NEW: YouGov/Sky News poll has Reform just ONE POINT behind the Tories: 🔴 LAB: 38% (-3) 🔵 CON: 18% (-1) 🟣 REF: 17% (+1) 🟠 LD: 15% (+4) 🟢 GRN: 8% (+1)
Reform Only One Point Behind Tories in Poll https://t.co/czNMLaW33Y https://t.co/sSFnCVVMwS
🔴 Reform UK has closed the gap on the Conservatives in the polls to just one point A new YouGov poll put Nigel Farage’s party on 17 per cent, just one point behind the Conservatives on 18 per cent Follow the latest ⬇️ https://t.co/LQKnBmFlvl https://t.co/SPKb8JX6lN
Reform now just 1 point behind the Tories (YouGov). Lab 38, Cons 18%, Reform 17%. Here comes the inflection point ... https://t.co/DPf6ds3zTK
Reform UK one point behind the Tories https://t.co/qoWsAWaW3Q
🚨 BREAKING: The latest YouGov poll puts Labour's lead at 20 points after the Lib Dem manifesto 🔴LAB: 38% (-3) 🔵CON: 18% (-1) 🟣REF: 17% (+1) 🟠LDEM: 15% (+4) 🟢GRN: 8% (+1) 10th-11th June Change on last week
This poll has Reform just one point behind conservatives, but interestingly puts Labour on 20 points ahead, similar to poll that came out that showed Labour “down to” an 18 point lead. Labour still well ahead, but LibDems with some momentum maybe cutting into Labour lead a bit https://t.co/5enU70AmB3
📈📉NEW POLL @YouGov Labour lead at 20 points 🔴LAB: 38% (-3) 🔵CON: 18% (-1) 🟣REF: 17% (+1) 🟠LDEM: 15% (+4) 🟢GRN: 8% (+1) 10th-11th June. Change on last week
Sky News / YouGov exclusive poll ** Tories joint lowest VI share in Parliament ** Reform just ONE point behind ** Lab down 3; LD up 4 LAB 38% (-3), CON 18% (-1), RefUK 17% (+1), LDEM 15% (+4), GRN 8% (+1) Fieldwork Mon/Tue (around Lib Dem manfiesto coverage)
Our constituency poll of Hartlepool, the high watermark of Boris Johnson's tenure, finds Labour 58%, Reform 23%, Conservative 10%. https://t.co/xAo6a8N784 https://t.co/RHBHASR7mb
🚨 NEW: Reform's membership has grown by over 50% since Nigel Farage took over as leader [@harry_horton]
Exc: Reform UK’s membership has grown by 50% since Nigel Farage took over as party leader. https://t.co/4MBrIcWf3t
Exclusive: Reform UK membership grows 50% in week since Farage announces run for parliament | @harry_horton writes https://t.co/2j6yw6jAaI
In all of the 16 national polls conducted since Nigel Farage's return, Reform has got a double figure vote share: three 17s, three 16s, four 15s, two 14s, two 12s, two 11s. So far the opposite to a squeeze has occurred. Reform just one stride off causing total Tory meltdown.
📊 NEW: Labour leads by 18 points as Reform reaches a record high. Labour: 42% (-2) Conservative: 24% (-1) Reform UK: 15% (+1) Liberal Democrats: 9% (-) Green: 5% (-) Fieldwork conducted 7–11 June 3,124 respondents (GB) https://t.co/jQUQo7v9L1
Talk of "crossover" between Ref and Cons looks premature according to @thetimes poll tracker - but there's disagreement between pollsters on how well Reform are doing @RedfieldWilton have them on 17pts, while @Ipsos have them on 9. The difference would mean dozens of Tory seats https://t.co/7chIYDK7W4
“We are very close to a tipping point” – Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK The fact is that Reform UK is ahead of the Tories in significant parts of the country. We are the real opposition to Labour. Vote Reform UK on July 4th. #BritainNeedsReform #ReformUK https://t.co/2yTs9ebemD
NEW: Nigel Farage is now more popular than Rishi Sunak with Conservative 2019 voters. The latest (post-D Day) @RestIsPolitics @JLPartnersPolls finds Sunak with a net rating of +8 and Farage on +15 with this group. Tables: https://t.co/clqqzVlble Podcast: https://t.co/ySDjg9yijU https://t.co/5cz91echwl
🗳️📉The Conservatives are on 22.3% in the latest @SkyNews poll tracker, over 21 points behind Labour. Lab 43.6 (40-46) Con 22.3 (19-26) Reform 13.6 (9-17) Lib Dems 9.6 (8-12) Green 5.8 (3-9) SNP 3.1 (2-5) Follow the tracker here: https://t.co/0qx5Ohk7Rc https://t.co/zyLZJHVkTG
NEW poll has Reform just 2 points behind the Tories. Lab 45%, Cons 19%, Reform 17% (Redfield & W) https://t.co/DPf6ds3zTK
Labour leads by 20% with men and 27% with women. Westminster VI (7-10 June): (Men | Women) Labour (40% | 42%) Conservative (20% | 15%) Reform UK (17% | 13%) Lib Dem (9% | 9%) Others (9% | 8%) Don't know (6% | 12%) https://t.co/enrKng7no2 https://t.co/Qt5jpPmV48
Reform is in SECOND place with voters aged 45-54 and 55-64. The Conservatives are in FIFTH with those aged 18-24 Westminster VI, By Age (7-10 June): Labour's lead by age group: 18-24: 40% 25-34: 33% 35-44: 29% 45-54: 24% 55-64: 18% 65+: 9% https://t.co/enrKng7no2 https://t.co/hj9wAoTVIk
Only 40% of 2019 Conservatives say they will vote Conservative again. Westminster VI, 2019 Conservatives (7-10 June): Conservative 40% Reform 27% Labour 18% Other 4% Don't Know 10% https://t.co/enrKng7no2 https://t.co/D6hHaRCAod
💷 Senior figures in Reform UK admit they were “blindsided” by Nigel Farage’s comeback as leader but insist they are delighted as the cash rolls in from new members https://t.co/3HXrdeb8gh
Labour leads by 26%. Tied-lowest ever Conservative %. Joint-highest ever Reform UK %. 🇬🇧 Westminster VI (7/6-10/6): Labour 45% (+3) Conservative 19% (–) Reform UK 17% (–) Lib Dem 10% (-2) Green 5% (-1) SNP 3% (–) Other 1% (-1) Changes +/- 5/6-6/6 https://t.co/enrKng7VdA https://t.co/ACTfmKm8fA
Nigel Farage's return as Reform UK leader has given the party a cash and members boost Ben Habib, deputy leader, described Farage's comeback as the "Second Coming" @harriet_symonds reports https://t.co/3HXrdeb8gh
Nigel Farage has high favourability ratings among 2019 Conservative voters, including a respectable showing among those who still intend to vote for the Tories All 2019 Conservative voters Nigel Farage: 51% favourable Rishi Sunak: 46% 2019 Con/Reform UK now Nigel Farage: 94%… https://t.co/2vT9fJYgfO
Nigel Farage says Reform support nearing electoral tipping point for Tories https://t.co/ifrj6Tm5MO
Farage says Reform is just as much a threat to Labour as it is to the Tories. But this @JLPartnersPolls poll shows 68% of its current support is from Tory 2019 voters - and just 7% Labour. However a lot more 2019 Tory voters, and doesn't take into account Tory-Lab switchers. https://t.co/75gidK9Clu
🇬🇧📈 With all weekly tracker's releasing a poll since Farage's return, here's where the average is at compared to last week. 🌹 Labour: 43.5% (-1.1) 🌳 Conservative: 22.3% (-1.8) ➡️ Reform: 14.2% (+2.6) 🔶 Liberal Democrat: 9.8% (+0.5) 🌍 Green: 5.4% (+0.3) https://t.co/PMIEvkMnN2
Brutal @JLPartnersPolls latest on the Tory 2019 vote bleeding out 20 per cent to Reform, 15 per cent to Labour. Just 4 in 10 staying with Conservatives. https://t.co/WomVOfmB6R
🆕 Poll from @JLPartnersPolls / @RestIsPolitics 🆕 👀Reform are up to 15% 📉Conservatives and Labour both down (within MoE) 🌹Labour lead remains at 17 points Full results at: https://t.co/NNFuR7xYPe https://t.co/B5UKqCGs3O