Recent polls indicate that the Conservative Party in the UK has lost a significant portion of its voters, with up to a third switching to other parties. Labour holds a substantial lead in London, with Reform UK making gains. Forecasts suggest Labour is on track for a large majority in the upcoming general election.
๐จ Voting intention in Islington North: ๐ด LAB 43% (-21) โช๏ธ Corbyn 29% (+29) ๐ LD 7% (-9) ๐ข GRN 7% (-1) ๐ฃ REF 6% (+5) ๐ต CON 6% (-4) Via @Survation / @LeftieStats, 20-25 June (+/- vs 2019) https://t.co/CTCwJ9n2q5
NEW Constituency Poll in Islington North for @LeftieStats and @novaramedia. LAB 43% (-22) IND 29% (new) LD 7% (-8) GRE 7% (-1) REF 6% (+5 from Brexit Party) CON 6% (-4) OTH 2% (+2) F/w 20th - 25th June. Changes vs. Notional 2019 result https://t.co/t0cRGLbUHY
Corbynista 'Stats for Lefties' commissioned Survation poll in Islington North shows Labour's @PrafulNargund 14 points ahead of Jeremy Corbyn. https://t.co/JrlrGmuare
Polls published today indicate a dip in Reform support: down 2 w/ @Savanta_UK, now 14% down 3 w/ @JLPartnersPolls, now 15% Still very ominous numbers for the Tories in terms of the right-wing vote split. But they suggest Farage's Putin remarks possibly had a negative impact
Reform's poll rating has dipped slightly in the wake of Nigel Farage's Putin/Ukraine comments - down 3 points to 15% from 18% with @JLPartnersPolls - down 2 points to 14% from 16% with @Savanta_UK - they say it's "the first real wobble of Reform UK's campaign"
๐จNEW Westminster Voting Intention for @Telegraph ๐Cons stablising, Reform UK stalling? ๐นLab 42 (=) ๐ณCon 21 (+2) โก๏ธReform 14 (-2) ๐ถLD 10 (+1) ๐Green 5 (=) ๐๏ธSNP 3 (=) โฌ๏ธOther 6 (=) 2,318 UK adults 21-24 June (chg from 19-21 June) https://t.co/C9aCcFn27L
Whether due to the Putin stuff or not (still think that needs time to bed into the polling), Reform's vote looks like it has hit a plateau. How the Reform vote has changed in polls conducted since last Thurs: We Think: -1 More in common: +1 R&W: no change Deltapoll: -1 JLP: -3 https://t.co/5xUaOuiJL9
DOES REFORM HAVE A WOMEN PROBLEM? ๐ โโ๏ธ Reform support declines as women turn away โฌ๏ธ Farage down 9 points in popularity โฌ๏ธ Sunak now ahead of Farage as he gains popularity among 2019 Tory voters Latest TRIP / JLP poll ๐ https://t.co/1hLQKOFBtK
NEW: @RestisPolitics / JLP poll, June 21st - 24th 2024 *Reform UK falls back, Labour lead at 16 points* Change on last week in brackets LAB: 41% (+1) CON: 25% (+2) REF: 15% (-3) LDEM: 11% (+2) GRN: 5% (-) Tables: https://t.co/BozWy47mBb https://t.co/5HsnRa4JCV
Support for @reformparty_uk in @thesun is rising. Up from 47.3% on 16th June to 70.8% on the 24th June. https://t.co/h8afSfT0Pf
๐ Prolific partnered with @focaldataHQ this month to broaden the sample for its MRP model, which forecasts the 2024 UK General Election. @UKLabour is on track for the majority vote. Check out the findings below and learn more about our polling here ๐ https://t.co/yZohGWNs5T https://t.co/xjiet8KwCT
How have the voting intentions of 2019 Conservative voters changed during this election campaign? Yesterday's poll with changes from 19 May, our final poll before GE was called: Conservative 35% (-13) Reform 28% (+10) Labour 19% (โ) Other 8% (โ) Don't Know 9% (+1) https://t.co/0Ep3xRSh7U
How have our polls shifted during the election campaign? Yesterday's poll with changes from 19 May 2024, our final poll before the General Election was called: Labour 42% (-3) Reform UK 19% (+7) Conservative 18% (-5) Liberal Democrat 12% (+2) Green 6% (+1) SNP 3% (+1) https://t.co/q6hYUidCvA https://t.co/ubrnJeF0bG
The @reformparty_uk is holding firm & has nudged ahead of the Conservatives. It seems the Putin comments have had no effect. ๐ฌ๐ง Westminster VI (21-24 June): Labour 42% (โ) Reform UK 19% (โ) Conservative 18% (โ) Lib Dem 12% (+1) Green 6% (+1) SNP 3% (โ) Other 2% (+1) Changesโฆ https://t.co/s6uMUJWIl2
#Reform jumps from 47.3% to 70.8% in a week in a new #Poll of readers of the best-selling UK weekday newspaper, the Sun. Most recent national #Polls have the #ReformParty gaining. #ReformUK @reformparty_uk https://t.co/TeDfw21PrX
'Get the Tories out' mood gives Labour a 33-point lead in London - poll https://t.co/YQIl1CTJ6z
๐๐NEW POLL @DeltapollUK Labour lead 24pts ๐ตConservative: 19% (-) ๐ดLabour: 43% (-3) ๐ Liberal Democrat: 13% (+3) ๐ฃReform UK: 15% (-1) ๐กScottish National Party: 2% (-) ๐ขGreen: 5% (-) Fieldwork dates: 21st to 24th June 2024 Sample: 1,568 adults
Focaldata project Labour at 450 (and over 5% ahead in 410 seats) with Conservatives on 110 (but 50 of them within 5%) and health warning that Cons share is eroding during the campaign https://t.co/7EslhainPq
No sign of the Putin row hurting Reform here. Reform leading Con again with this pollster. Grim, grim, grim for the Tories โฌ๏ธ https://t.co/gOD0ZhPkpt
Labour leads by 16% with men and 26% with women. Westminster VI (21-24 June): (Men | Women) Labour (36% | 40%) Reform UK (20% | 13%) Conservative (18% | 14%) Lib Dem (10% | 11%) Others (10% | 9%) Don't know (7% | 13%) https://t.co/F1nZMSjwYm https://t.co/KDCnDafxLK
Adding Focaldata to the latest MRP polls from 6 other companies since election called on 22 May, the average projection is a Labour majority of 244 Lab 455 seats Con 97 Lib Dem 53 SNP 20 Plaid 3 Reform 2 Green 1 https://t.co/ZqE8XKKgzF
The Conservatives are in FIFTH among those aged 18-24. Reform is in SECOND place with voters aged 18-24, 45-54 and 55-64. Westminster VI, By Age (21-24 June): Labour's lead by age group: 18-24: 29% 25-34: 35% 35-44: 27% 45-54: 21% 55-64: 7% 65+: 8% https://t.co/F1nZMSjwYm https://t.co/HDktK60BAy
Latest UK Redfield & Wilton poll modelled out LAB: 480 seats (+277) LDM: 61 seats (+50) REF: 46 seats (+46) SNP: 24 seats (-24) CON: 14 seats (-351) GRN: 3 seats (+2) Labour Supermajority Feel free to ask for any constitiuencies https://t.co/Lu5lyOzc3n https://t.co/XOUjUvwrMI
Lowest % of 2019 Conservatives EVER to say they will vote Conservative again. Westminster VI, 2019 Conservatives (21-24 June): Conservative 35% (-2) Reform 28% (โ) Labour 19% (-1) Other 8% (+1) Don't Know 9% (+1) Changes +/- 19-20 June https://t.co/F1nZMSjwYm https://t.co/v0Dt7jXJyR
๐จ First @focaldataHQ MRP of the campaign suggests Labour are on course for a 250-seat majority. ๐ด LAB: 450 seats ๐ต CON: 110 ๐ LDM: 50 ๐ก SNP: 16 ๐ข PCY: 2 ๐ฃ RFM: 1 ๐ข GRN: 1 Write-up: https://t.co/kLNIkAgh4V https://t.co/asrstTCWqI
๐ฅ EXCLUSIVE: Our first MRP poll of the campaign suggests Labour are on course for a 250-seat majority. Probabilistic seat counts: Labour: 450 Conservative: 110 Liberal Democrats: 50 SNP: 16 Plaid Cymru: 2 Reform UK: 1 Green: 1 More details: https://t.co/zPEkXERssr https://t.co/Z0VQEekEWM
More than half of those who voted for the British Conservatives in the last election now plan to vote for another party in the July 4 elections. The Tories are heading confidently towards a humiliating, historic defeat. https://t.co/qukR9uVWFo
Latest MRP Predicts Labour 250 Seat Majority https://t.co/4DICV9bTh5 https://t.co/7hnwVl9a46
Tories Heading For Electoral Wipeout As New Poll Predicts 250-Seat Labour Majority https://t.co/vmix7mGynT
๐จ Focaldataโs MRP is out and suggests 250-seat Labour majority In presentation, @JamesKanag caveats that this could change and potentially for the worse for the Tories as a decent portion in of the Tory wins are marginal https://t.co/nhpAJAEURF
NEW: Labour is on course for one of the most efficient election wins of all time Polls point to a huge majority. But if just 130,000 voters in 100 seats switched to the second-place party, there'd be a hung parliament @Smyth_Chris @georgegrylls @thetimes https://t.co/zZ9BIkQI5G https://t.co/baDqqzmKnJ
Labour won London 48-32 (16 points) in 2019. Though the lead has doubled, the Conservatives have closed the London/non-London gap in their national vote: down a third in London to 22%, similar to ther national poll average (down by half) https://t.co/haCqEmEsPy
The Conservative Party is on track to lose as many as 7m voters in Britainโs upcoming general election. Where are all those voters going? https://t.co/MELqzlTEFv ๐ https://t.co/HiVom3SVeB
๐จNEW London Westminster voting intention for @MileEndInst @QMUL ๐33 point Labour lead ๐นLab 55 (+2) ๐ณCon 22 (-1) ๐ถLD 10 (-3) โก๏ธReform 8 (=) ๐Green 5 (+1) 1,022 Londoners, 10-18 June (change vs 26-30 April) https://t.co/YyxXC2GmjR
A new poll suggests the Conservatives have lost up to a third of voters who planned to back the party just four months ago https://t.co/fE5pL2sLlb https://t.co/okkHRjXRZO
'Get the Tories out' mood gives Labour a 33-point lead in London, poll https://t.co/YQIl1CTbh1
Labour opens up massive London poll lead 10 days before election - LIVE https://t.co/8kEQkh7GA2
Some stats on last week's MRPs from today's post: All five agree on 420 seats. 66% of those excluding NI. But 368 are Labour seats. Just 21 are Tory ones. Fewer than the 23 they all agree with go Lib Dem. https://t.co/GCARlcKqXU
๐จ๐ฅ๏ธ Between now and election day, our brilliant data science team will be plugging in the latest polling and projecting it nationally - giving us a sense of where the election is going. Their first forecast: ๐ฅ Labour: 446 ๐ฆ Cons: 86 https://t.co/jjXR2IfaYJ
๐ฌ๐ง Conservatives Lose A Third Of Their Voters Since January, Survey Finds โซFT poll shows extent of switching โซReform scores biggest gains โซTactical ploys benefit Lib Dems โซ@AnnaSophieGross #frontpagestoday #UK @FT ๐ฌ๐ง https://t.co/5lspRXwjSl
Labour has 33-point lead in London amid 'get the Tories out' mood - new @Savanta_UK poll for @MileEndInst @QMUL https://t.co/YQIl1CTbh1
Labour has 33-point lead in London amid 'get the Tories out' mood - new poll https://t.co/B6aOBzMKW2
๐ณ๏ธ๐ตNEW: Conservatives lost up to a THIRD of voters who planned to back the party just four months ago - new polling of 16,000 voters show Reform UK has attracted 8% of Tory voters polled, 6% switched to Labour, 7% now undecided and 9% less likely to vote at all - @FT