Recent polling data suggests a significant rise in tactical voting, with a third of voters in nearly every constituency willing to vote tactically to change the government. The Liberal Democrats are retaining a high percentage of their votes in key seats, indicating a potential increase in their seat count despite modest national vote share gains.
🚨NEW POLLING: at least a THIRD of voters in almost every constituency (apart from 11) say they would vote tactically to change the government. In 234 seats (including in Rishi Sunak's!) this jumps to 40%! Read more 👇1/ https://t.co/lqgIfkOJW6
The Lib Dems are polling roughly in-line with their 2019 vote share, and yet there are projections they could double, triple or even quadruple their total seat count. Here I look at why that is: https://t.co/bZFGtr1s1X https://t.co/AkXEKPW7Fw
Key briefing on the Lib Dems here. Despite the general disinterest, they will be a key story of this election. While their vote is only up 1.5pts nationally since the start of the campaign, their seat tally even on a basic regional model is up over 50%. https://t.co/uR0eEmaG2b
🚨NEW POLLING: In all but 11 seats across GB, a third of people say they would vote tactically to change the government. 💥And in 230-odd seats that jumps to 40% - including in Sunak's own constituency. @pimlicat on @TimesRadio👇 vote tactically at https://t.co/KofceZh5Vi https://t.co/NVE4OtUHB8
Key stat in this one: "The Lib Dems are now retaining 78% of their vote in seats where they came first or second in 2019, and 44% where they did not." There is now clear evidence of significant additional tactical voting emerging during the campaign. https://t.co/BfsVQybxqw
A third of voters in ALMOST EVERY CONSTITUENCY are prepared to vote tactically to change the government at this election. It could "spell electoral armageddon" for the Conservatives. Read more from @RMCunliffe @NewStatesman 👇 https://t.co/8apFMhtAZl
Probably the most interesting polling factoid I’ve seen during the campaign from @OwenWntr . This suggests a very very bad result for the gov’t and heavy tactical voting *on top of* the vote share deficit it has vs Labour https://t.co/tfN390a5Ds
This *strongly* suggests the Lib Dem bump is due to tactical voting. If this is replicated in a general election, this implies *much* stronger tactical voting than 1997. In 1997, Lib Dems retained ~64.5% of their 1992 vote where they were 2nd, ~50% where Labour was. https://t.co/FYjzbGtAqP