Recent polls and by-election results indicate a significant lead for the Labour Party in the UK, with various sources showing a consistent advantage over the Conservatives. The Labour Party's lead ranges from 15 to 19 points in different polls. In the latest Westminster voting intentions, Labour's support varies between 42% and 46%, while the Conservatives' support is between 23% and 27%. The Liberal Democrats, Reform UK, and the Green Party also show varying levels of support, with the Liberal Democrats ranging from 9% to 11%, Reform UK from 8% to 11%, and the Green Party from 6% to 8%. Following recent by-elections, there is an increased expectation that Labour will win a large majority at the next general election, with 25% of respondents expecting a large Labour majority, an increase of 8 points. Additionally, 48% expect a Labour majority of any size, and 61% expect Labour to form the next government. Notably, Labour is projected to secure over 400 seats.
🚨 New polling w/ @ObserverUK Labour leads by 15 points • Labour 43% (n/c) • Conservatives 27% (+2) • Lib Dems 10% (-1) • SNP 3% (+1%) • Greens 7% (n/c) • Reform 9% (-1) Conservatives have seen a two point recovery in the polls bringing the lead back down to 15 points. https://t.co/IQ52pmmQk1
Expectation that Labour will win a large majority at the next election jumps 8pts following yesterday's by-elections % who expect... A large Labour majority: 25% (+8 from Sunday) A Labour majority of any size: 48% (+5) Labour to form next govt: 61% (+3) https://t.co/i14tIGPSJ3 https://t.co/nDhaD5hlgh
Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 46% (+4) CON: 26% (=) LDM: 9% (-1) RFM: 8% (-2) GRN: 6% (=) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @wethinkpolling, 15-16 Feb. Changes w/ 8-9 Feb.
Latest Westminster voting intention tracker (14-15 Feb) Con: 24% (+3 from 7-8 Feb) Lab: 44% (-2) Lib Dem: 9% (=) Reform UK: 11% (-1) Green: 8% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) https://t.co/IA3jFMgtzv https://t.co/55cVoagA0D
Lab 400+ seats. That's the takeaway of last night's by-elections. Britain Predicts pretty much bang on in Kingswood, but understated Lab by 8pts in Wellingborough.
📊 Labour lead at 19pts Westminster voting intention: LAB: 42% (-2) CON: 23% (-1) LDEM: 11% (+1) REF: 11% (+1) GRN: 7% (+1) via @techneUK https://t.co/Qs3Ph6DvxL