Joe Biden's chances of dropping out of the 2024 presidential race have surged dramatically, with Polymarket odds reaching as high as 50% before settling at 34%. This spike follows a poor debate performance and subsequent crisis talks with his family at Camp David. Betting markets have seen nearly $200 million in wagers, with Biden's likelihood of winning the election plummeting to 16-18%. Polymarket bettors have shown strong activity, with $8M+ in trading volume and a 50% all-time high. Meanwhile, Donald Trump has become the betting favorite, and Kamala Harris's odds for the Democratic nomination have increased to 13%. The political landscape remains volatile as speculation about Biden's future intensifies.
The bets keep coming on everyone besides Joe Biden to win the 2024 Presidential Election Nobody believes in Joe 😢 🔴 (-175) Donald Trump 🔵 (+350) Joe Biden 🔵 (7/1) Gavin Newsom 🔵 (12/1) Michelle Obama 🔵 (14/1) Kamala Harris 🔵 (18/1) Gretchen Whitmer ⚪️ (40/1) RFK Jr. https://t.co/t6TQHGGLHs
Biden’s odds of dropping out are down to 34% on Polymarket. From a high of 50% this past weekend. He is about to speak live in a planned speech on judicial immunity - we will see if the speech comes along with any curveballs… https://t.co/uxIrQic7zo
Biden's chances @NateSilver538 // @TheEconomist // @Polymarket https://t.co/xwKivlVzfO
After this last debate you can see... - 📈Biden's odds of dropping out go from 13% to 43% - 📉Biden's odds of winning the election drop from 37% to 17% View all of our live prediction markets at https://t.co/n8bhhdFVfu 🤝 https://t.co/VVwji6J7zn
The bets keep coming in on everyone besides Joe Biden to win the 2024 Presidential Election Nobody believe in Joe. 🔴 (-175) Donald Trump 🔵 (+350) Joe Biden 🔵 (7/1) Gavin Newsom 🔵 (12/1) Michelle Obama 🔵 (14/1) Kamala Harris 🔵 (18/1) Gretchen Whitmer ⚪️ (40/1) RFK Jr. https://t.co/RK029MqlO3
Polymarket odds for the 2024 democratic nominee: 1) Joe Biden: 69% 2) Kamala Harris: 12% 3) Michelle Obama: 8% 4) Gavin Newsom: 6% 5) Other: 5% https://t.co/MVWtnvWmhJ
Polymarket odds for Democratic Nominee 1) Joe Biden: 69% 2) Kamala Harris: 12% 3) Michelle Obama: 8% 4) Gavin Newsom: 6% 5) Other: 5% https://t.co/Br0qpMUsQx
🇺🇸 Updated U.S. 2024 Presidential Election Odds: Trump (R): 54.3% Biden (D): 19.0% Newsom (D): 9.0% Harris (D): 5.5% Obama (D): 5.0% Who will be the next president? 🇺🇸 https://t.co/mxKSiRSHdH
There's a 40% chance Biden will step down from the presidential race, according to Stifel chief Washington policy strategist @Brian_F_Gardner. https://t.co/8vkBkcDsYk
Odds that Biden will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after last week's debate before leveling off at 40% on @polymarket. Plus: $BTC price predictions; betting on stranded astronauts' return. Prediction market wrap by @thesamreynolds https://t.co/PFOCaNxW49
Recent predictions from Polymarket bettors suggest a 46% chance that President Biden may drop out by November, with age-related concerns cited as a factor. Stay tuned for updates on this developing story.
Polymarket Betters Give Biden a 46% Chance of Dropping Out by November ► https://t.co/UJHdZc6UQI https://t.co/UJHdZc6UQI
Will Biden Drop Out? #Polymarket Odds Spike to 50% Amid Camp David Discussions https://t.co/jsUpsZLdXZ
Has Biden dropped out yet or still rumors?
‼️🚨Word on the street is that Biden is about to formally drop out of the race. Who will replace him?
Will Joe Biden drop out? Donald Trump is the massive betting favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election https://t.co/FRzd0bCjyW
Good arb avail. 50% to drop out, but Biden NOT being nominee at 38% https://t.co/f3HqgoaYY6
BREAKING: Polymarket odds now at 50% that Biden drops out $8M+ in trading volume https://t.co/5rXHAhNuTa
.@Polymarket Bet on Biden Dropping Out Rises to 50% as Camp David Retreat Fuels Speculation https://t.co/jsUpsZLdXZ
Major moves in the political prediction markets overnight -Biden down to 18% to win the election -Biden up to 47% to drop out of the race -Kamala Harris odds for Dem Nominee soared to 13% PoliFi tokens responded, w/ coins like OBEMA (+60%) and noosum (+50%) soaring & boden… https://t.co/fsTf3o5Xnt
🇺🇸 Probability of #Biden dropping out of presidential election after NBC article - Polymarket *Link: https://t.co/9OnSom1bhN https://t.co/n35YgAZUPz https://t.co/2FtlbPhfEo
Joe Biden is down to 16% on Polymarket https://t.co/tayj1cBBRM
Dead even odds on whether Biden will drop out, new high just hit. Look at the gambling chart skyrocket since the debate. https://t.co/zHfdu1ujio
Odds Biden drops out just hit 50% Another all-time high https://t.co/VLpH6eHzkE
is Biden definitely dropping out?
🚨🇺🇸IF BIDEN DROPS OUT: DEMOCRATS' COMPLEX PATH TO A NEW NOMINEE Recent news of Biden planning crisis talks with his family about his campaign's future, reportedly feeling deeply shaken by his debate performance, has intensified speculation about the Democratic nomination. If… https://t.co/mlNPO3L8ON https://t.co/zk29ZiWK74
Biden's chances of dropping out jumps up to 47% suddenly. Follow: @AFpost https://t.co/cogFt6YFvT
BREAKING: The odds of Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 presidential race just randomly jumped to 47%. https://t.co/Xm6e5quk7X
The odds of Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 presidential race just randomly jumped to 47%. What just happened? https://t.co/s9DZqYhuTy
It appears that there is a lot of pressure for Biden to drop out Who would you vote for?
Joe Biden now has just a 17% chance of winning the election. Trump has opened up an insane lead in the gambling markets with nearly $200 million bet so far. Gambling odds are now nearly even that Biden drops out. https://t.co/7bt39q2WhX