According to recent data from Polymarket, Donald Trump is currently leading the 2024 Presidential Election odds with a 60% chance of winning, a new high. Joe Biden follows with 34%, while other potential candidates like Michelle Obama and RFK Jr. have minimal support at 2% and 1% respectively. Trump's odds have shown a significant increase, with a net 28-point swing in his favor since April 18. In swing states, Trump leads in North Carolina, Nevada, Georgia, and Arizona with odds ranging from 61% to 78%. Biden, however, holds a slight advantage in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin with 51% each. Post-debate odds show Trump further solidifying his lead with a 67% chance of winning, compared to Biden's 24%. Additionally, the balance of power odds indicate a 46% chance of a Republican sweep, the highest recorded so far. Trump has a 66% chance of winning post-debate, with Biden at 28% and Newsom at 4%. Kamala Harris also shows a 4% chance.
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner (shift since June 26) π₯ Trump: 64% (+5) π¦ Biden: 19% (-15) π¦ Newsom: 7% (+5) π¦ Harris: 5% (+4) π¦ M. Obama: 4% (+1) ββ Balance of power odds β’ Republican sweep: 52% (new high) β’ Democratic sweep: 18% β’ D Pres, R Senate, Dβ¦ https://t.co/iaHRR5uii1 https://t.co/LbULZueIP1
.@Polymarket - Swing States Odds WISCONSIN π₯ Trump: 56% π¦ Biden: 44% . PENNSYLVANIA π₯ Trump: 56% π¦ Biden: 44% . MICHIGAN π₯ Trump: 51% π¦ Biden: 49% . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 72% π¦ Biden: 28% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 72% π¦ Biden: 28% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 80% π¦ Biden: 20% .β¦ https://t.co/75fV7fWAOa https://t.co/SCMFVHIGEK
.@YouGovAmerica poll on the debate- Who won? Trump: 43% Biden: 22% Not Sure: 35% https://t.co/lr3Jbn59bt
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Post-Debate: Donald Trump 65% (+5) Joe Biden 22% (-12) Gavin Newsom 7% (+5) Kamala Harris 4% (+3) Michelle Obama 4% (+2) . Pre-Debate: Donald Trump 60% Joe Biden 34% Michelle Obama 2% Gavin Newsom 2% Kamala Harris 1%β¦ https://t.co/MhgWmVc3j6
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner Pre-debate π₯ Trump: 59% (+25) π¦ Biden: 34% π¦ Newsom: 3% . POST-DEBATE π₯ Trump: 65% (+42) π¦ Biden: 23% π¦ Newsom: 6% https://t.co/BBwAM9qWMw https://t.co/AfWbsSiVI3 https://t.co/IMwLQPmcWG
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 66% (+44) Joe Biden 22% Gavin Newsom 6% https://t.co/kCw5xgkVAb https://t.co/WlI6u4821n
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner April 15 π¦ Biden: 45% (+2) π₯ Trump: 43% . May 30 π₯ Trump: 54% (+15) π¦ Biden: 39% . JUNE 27 π₯ Trump: 67% (+43) π¦ Biden: 24% Net 45 point swing towards Trump https://t.co/BBwAM9qWMw https://t.co/KBc9yz0SxS https://t.co/IMwLQPmcWG
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 67% (+38) Joe Biden 29% Gavin Newsom 6% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH
.@Polymarket Post-Debate Odds: Presidential Election Winner π₯ Trump: 66% (new high) π¦ Biden: 28% π¦ Newsom: 4% π¨ RFK Jr: 1% β Trends β’ May 20: Trump +10 β’ May 30: Trump +15 β’ June 27: Trump +38 https://t.co/kjkMVHlCVx https://t.co/Iqz0Xb7msI https://t.co/hOPD4BJxcV
2024 presidential winner - @Polymarket π΄ Trump 61% (Chance) π΅ Biden 33% Trump's biggest lead https://t.co/X95VbfTk9R https://t.co/mSBmBEPHKm
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner π₯ Trump: 60% (new high) π¦ Biden: 34% π¦ M. Obama: 3% π¨ RFK Jr: 1% ββ Balance of power odds β’ Republican sweep: 46% (new high) β’ Democratic sweep: 21% β’ D Pres, R Senate, D House: 15% β’ R Pres, R Senate, D House: 14% β’ Dβ¦ https://t.co/M2x18YewLi https://t.co/WXno3b6fDi
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: PENNSYLVANIA Trump 53% (+6) Biden 47% . WISCONSIN Trump 52% (+4) Biden 48% . NEVADA Trump 72% (+44) Biden 28% . MICHIGAN Biden 53% (+6) Trump 47% . GEORGIA Trump 75% (+50) Biden 25% . ARIZONA Trump 68% (+36) Biden 32%β¦ https://t.co/l6nxjEuxU2 https://t.co/gsCxSVo4CM
.@Polymarket - Swing States Odds PENNSYLVANIA π₯ Trump: 54% (new high) π¦ Biden: 46% . WISCONSIN π₯ Trump: 52% (new high) π¦ Biden: 48% . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 72% (new high) π¦ Biden: 28% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 67% (new high) π¦ Biden: 33% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 74% (new high) π¦β¦ https://t.co/PWu81xfDE7 https://t.co/AxEQLynHEX
.@Polymarket - Presidential Winner Overall: π₯ Trump 60% π¦ Biden 34% π¦ M. Obama 2% π¦ Newsom: 2% π¨ RFK Jr 1% β NV, GA, AZ & NC Odds NEVADA π₯ Trump 73% (new high) π¦ Biden 27% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump 69% (new high) π¦ Biden 31% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump 63% (new high) π¦ Bidenβ¦ https://t.co/L6NbR4pS4v
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner? Joe Biden 57% (+21) Donald Trump 36% https://t.co/TK9GAf69Gt https://t.co/0pORmGa8Hm https://t.co/TYWGc21vom
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 60% (+26) Joe Biden 34% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/uIrL3zVOC5 https://t.co/TYWGc21vom
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner April 18 π¦ Biden: 45% (+2) π₯ Trump: 43% . May 20 π₯ Trump: 52% (+10) π¦ Biden: 42% . May 30 π₯ Trump: 54% (+15) π¦ Biden: 39% . June 25 π₯ Trump: 60% (+26) π¦ Biden: 34% Net 28 point swing towards Trump https://t.co/ZD5JAodAzt https://t.co/DrxW17MfXy https://t.co/Z3J4MUSSdM
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner π₯ Trump: 59% (new high) π¦ Biden: 34% π¦ M. Obama: 2% π¨ RFK Jr: 1% https://t.co/ZD5JAodAzt https://t.co/kcTJ5xQtnO https://t.co/pgl8boRlGy
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 58% (+24) Joe Biden 34% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/G8zo4lZavv https://t.co/TYWGc21vom
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner π₯ Trump: 58% (new high) π¦ Biden: 34% π¦ M. Obama: 2% π¨ RFK Jr: 1% https://t.co/BBwAM9qWMw https://t.co/fDJbPyyKza https://t.co/vzc7UQ9Z52
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 57% (+23) Joe Biden 34% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/BD1EDlM26k https://t.co/TYWGc21vom
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Odds NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 78% π¦ Biden: 22% . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 69% π¦ Biden: 31% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 67% π¦ Biden: 33% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 61% π¦ Biden: 39% . PENNSYLVANIA π¦ Biden: 51% π₯ Trump: 49% . WISCONSIN π¦ Biden: 51%β¦ https://t.co/54EwmjvwsL https://t.co/pgl8boRlGy
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Odds NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 72% π¦ Biden: 28% . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 69% π¦ Biden: 31% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 67% π¦ Biden: 33% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 61% π¦ Biden: 39% . PENNSYLVANIA π¦ Biden: 51% π₯ Trump: 49% . WISCONSIN π¦ Biden: 51% π₯β¦ https://t.co/riTU930Cy2 https://t.co/pgl8boRlGy