Recent polling data from @Polymarket shows the odds for the 2024 US presidential election favoring Donald Trump over Joe Biden in key swing states such as North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. Trump leads with 56% compared to Biden's 37%. The odds also predict a Republican majority in the Senate and a Democratic majority in the House.
.@Polymarket - Post-conviction Swing States Odds (shift since April 24) NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 76% (+4) π¦ Biden: 24% (-4) . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 65% (+6) π¦ Biden: 35% (-4) . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 63% (+23) π¦ Biden: 37% (-23) . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 61% (+9) π¦ Biden: 39% (-9) .β¦ https://t.co/mY1gOvV6fg https://t.co/swnFFBRhzP
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner April 18 π¦ Biden: 45% (+2) π₯ Trump: 43% . May 20 π₯ Trump: 52% (+10) π¦ Biden: 42% . May 31 (post-conviction) π₯ Trump: 55% (+16) π¦ Biden: 39% Net 18 point swing towards Trump. https://t.co/zqQwff7rWj https://t.co/n31hK20lxF
Election outcome by @Polymarket Arizona π΄ 61% π΅ 39% Nevada π΄ 63% π΅ 37% Georgia π΄ 65% π΅ 35% North Carolina π΄ 76% π΅ 24% Pennsylvania π΅ 51% π΄ 49% Michigan π΅ 54% π΄ 46% Wisconsin π΅ 54% π΄ 46% https://t.co/X95VbfTk9R What number do you disagree most?β¦ https://t.co/Uizh8zbX4x
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: WISCONSIN Biden 52% (+7) Trump 45% . MICHIGAN Biden 51% (+6) Trump 45% . PENNSYLVANIA Biden 50% (+1) Trump 49% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/ro8YkzZ799
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: NEVADA Trump 62% (+24) Biden 38% . GEORGIA Trump 64% (+28) Biden 36% . ARIZONA Trump 58% (+19) Biden 39% . NORTH CAROLINA Trump 74% (+50) Biden 24% . OHIO Trump 89% (+81) Biden 8% . FLORIDA Trump 93% (+86) Biden 7% . TEXAS Trump⦠https://t.co/XdNiWhwOk9
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner π₯ Donald Trump 56% (+16) π¦ Joe Biden 40% π¨ Robert F. Kennedy Jr 2% β North Carolina π₯ Trump 76% π¦ Biden 24% . Georgia π₯ Trump 65% π¦ Biden 35% . Nevada π₯ Trump 62% π¦ Biden 38% . Arizona π₯ Trump 61% π¦ Biden 39%β¦ https://t.co/kI0bo38qHT https://t.co/84BGdo5lME
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 54% (+15) Joe Biden 39% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/G8E6KOKA1G https://t.co/8ttB9JY5O8
.@Polymarket - πΊπ² 2024 Presidential Election NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 76% (+52) π¦ Biden: 24% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 65% (+30) π¦ Biden: 35% . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 63% (+26) π¦ Biden: 37% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 61% (+22) π¦ Biden: 39% . FLORIDA π₯ Trump: 92% (+84) π¦ Biden: 8% .β¦ https://t.co/dpMxhhfLPk https://t.co/lJZ1Bp7PUp
Winner of the US presidential election according to Polymarket: π April 15 (start date of the Manhattan Trial) πΊπΈ Trump 46% (+1) πΊπΈ Biden 45% π 16th of May πΊπΈ Trump 50% (+8) πΊπΈ Biden 42% π NOW (after conviction) πΊπΈ Trump 56% (+18) πΊπΈ Biden 38% https://t.co/S9CKVH4ptu
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner April 15 (Manhattan Trial start date) π₯ Trump 46% (+1) π¦ Biden 45% May 16 π₯ Trump 50% (+8) π¦ Biden 42% NOW (post-conviction) π₯ Trump 56% (+18) π¦ Biden 38% https://t.co/A0sMPuSJm4 https://t.co/HlSLyQZGSL
Who will win the presidential election - odds by @Polymarket π΄ Trump 56% π΅ Biden 37% π‘ Kennedy 2% https://t.co/ciDr2oOjiO https://t.co/yXTbrJ847v
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 56% (+19) Joe Biden 37% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/7lt7cKhkQM https://t.co/8ttB9JY5O8
.@DecisionDeskHQ πΊπ² Presidential Forecast (chance of winning the presidency) π₯ Trump: 58% π¦ Biden: 42% β EC Forecast π₯ Trump: 282 π¦ Biden: 256 β Swing States (chance of winning) NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 68% π¦ Biden: 32% GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 63% π¦ Biden: 37% . ARIZONA π₯β¦ https://t.co/A0ddmg5J0i
.@Polymarket - πΊπ² Presidential Winner April 15 (Manhattan Trial start date) π₯ Trump 46% (+1) π¦ Biden 45% π¨ RFK Jr 3% TODAY π₯ Trump 56% (+19) π¦ Biden 37% π¨ RFK Jr 2% https://t.co/YEgYhWX4FO https://t.co/90zWBq4Yj9
.@Polymarket - 2024 Election Odds President π₯ Trump: 56% π¦ Biden: 37% π¨ RFK Jr: 2% β Senate π₯ GOP: 73% π¦ DEM: 27% β House π¦ DEM: 56% π₯ GOP: 44% β Balance of Power odds β’ Republican sweep: 40% β’ Democratic sweep: 23% β’ D Pres, R Senate, D House: 18% β’ R Pres, Rβ¦ https://t.co/OfD1B6AWXw https://t.co/LH4lObX6Di
.@Polymarket - Swing States Odds (5/27) NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 76% π¦ Biden: 24% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 65% π¦ Biden: 35% . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 62% π¦ Biden: 38% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 61% π¦ Biden: 39% . PENNSYLVANIA π¦ Biden: 51% π₯ Trump: 49% . MICHIGAN π¦ Biden: 54% π₯ Trump:β¦ https://t.co/he7nCsGXzt https://t.co/lGI8puLoJf