Recent police raids targeting former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro and his associates over allegations of plotting a coup following the 2022 election have significantly weakened the right-wing opposition to President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, while also increasing election confidence and reducing fraud beliefs. These developments have cast a shadow over Bolsonaro's political future, as he faces potential charges that could lead to a sentence of up to 23 years in prison and over 30 years of ineligibility for public office. Bolsonaro has responded by organizing a public event on Avenida Paulista to defend himself against these accusations. Meanwhile, a new study highlights the effectiveness of prebunking strategies in enhancing election credibility in the US and Brazil, showing a notable increase in belief among Republicans that Biden won the election by 10 percentage points and demonstrating that prebunking effects are more durable. The situation underscores the challenges facing Brazil's right-wing factions and the broader implications for democratic processes in the country.
Bolsonaro on edge: "If charged and convicted of the crimes of attempted coup d'état, attempted abolition of the democratic rule of law and criminal conspiracy, the former president could face a sentence of up to 23 years in prison and be ineligible for more than 30 years." https://t.co/JuqYwyG9wJ
Brazilian investigators share new evidence that former pres. Bolsonaro plotted to use violence and lies to retain power regardless of the ‘22 election results. Wonder where he got that idea! Pro-democracy forces in Brazil are bringing the truth to light. https://t.co/zRh8dXYt7T
Police raids on former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro and his associates for allegedly plotting a coup after the 2022 election has dealt a serious blow to his right-wing party ahead of October's local elections. https://t.co/BnEq6G5TVj
🚨 Ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro convoca ato na Avenida Paulista. “Nesse evento eu quero me defender de todas as acusações que têm sido imputadas à minha pessoa nos últimos meses”, afirmou Bolsonaro em vídeo divulgado por sua assessoria. https://t.co/dMQtyc7XSg
Very cool & important new study which finds that inoculation enhances election credibility in US & Brazil! ▶️Prebunking outperformed corrections over time. ▶️Prebunks increased belief Biden won election among Reps by 10% pts ▶️Weakened dose more important than the forewarning https://t.co/gzcGqvsatU https://t.co/Fm6tN84slQ
Key findings: 1. Both approaches increased election confidence and reduced fraud beliefs 2. But prebunking effects more durable in U.S. and larger in Brazil 3. Effects appear to be driven by novel substantive content of the prebunking treatment, not inoculation approach https://t.co/2lO9AOjay4
⚠️ ANALYSIS-BOLSONARO COUP PROBE WEAKENS BRAZIL'S RIGHT-WING OPPOSITION (Reuters) Police raids on former President Jair Bolsonaro and his associates for allegedly plotting a coup after the 2022 election has weakened right-wing opposition to President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva… https://t.co/xjgBEqVs9S