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Top stories

Brazil's Lula Awaits Apology from Argentina's Right-Wing Libertarian Milei
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Prediction markets for Brazilian

Will there be candidates with "ChatGPT" in their names in the 2024 Brazilian municipal elections?

Apr 21, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.52%chance

19399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

922

Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jan 9, 5:15 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

75.38%chance

19790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

921

Will there be more deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon in 2024 than in 2023?

Jan 24, 4:35 PMFeb 1, 3:59 AM

29.63%chance

13213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

928

Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jun 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

59.98%chance

231824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

750

Will the Brazilian men’s national team guarantee their spot for the 2026 FIFA World Cup before the end of 2025?

Apr 10, 1:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.51%chance

16318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

955

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

57.93%chance

17714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1054

902

Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jan 9, 5:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.96%chance

121316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1590

912

Will there be more candidates with 'Bolsonaro' in their ballot names in the 2024 Brazilian elections compared to 2020?

Apr 9, 1:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.81%chance

4384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

542

454

Will Drex (Digital Brazilian Real) be available in 2024?

Jan 12, 1:15 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

25.07%chance

9242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

160

Will Brazilian House Speaker Arthur Lira be formally accused of corruption before Jan 31, 2025?

Jul 8, 12:30 PMFeb 1, 2:59 AM

4.93%chance

5464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

443

52

Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

May 2, 1:02 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Simone Tebet be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jun 19, 12:02 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

26.18%chance

8177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

128

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