The 2024 presidential election forecasts show varying results between Trump and Biden. Polls indicate Trump leading in some polls, while Biden leads in others. The latest Economist forecast gives Trump a 72% chance of winning, with 306 electoral votes, compared to Biden's 28% chance and 232 electoral votes.
πΊπ² 2024 GE: YouGov/NY Post π¦ Biden: 41% (+2) π₯ Trump: 39% π¨ RFK Jr: 3% π© West: 1% π¨ Stein: 1% 538: #4 (2.9/3.0) | 1,011 RV | 6/11-14 https://t.co/h9o6hemNVm https://t.co/0RSnKnATi8
General Election Poll March π΄ Trump 50% (+5) π΅ Biden 45% June π΅ Biden 50% (+2) π΄ Trump 48% Fox - 1,095 RV - 6/17 https://t.co/kZCHoX8ezs
#New General Election Poll π΅ Biden 41% (+2) π΄ Trump 39% YouGov B+ - 1,011 RV - 6/14
πΊπ² 2024 GE: [Among Independent voters] March π₯ Trump: 51% (+14) π¦ Biden: 37% May π₯ Trump: 46% (+2) π¦ Biden: 44% June π¦ Biden: 52% (+9) π₯ Trump: 43% Net 23 point swing towards Biden Fox News Poll: #15 (2.8/3.0) | 6/14-17 | RVs https://t.co/6DMNBKmSjD https://t.co/ARtm5mEl1Z https://t.co/Xltq8npE4X
πΊπ² 2024 GE: [Among Independent voters] March π₯ Trump: 51% (+14) π¦ Biden: 37% May π₯ Trump: 46% (+2) π¦ Biden: 44% June π¦ Biden: 52% (+9) π₯ Trump: 43% Net 23 point swing towards Biden ββ Independents: Previous poll vs β‘οΈ June shift CBS News: Trump +15 β‘οΈ Biden +2β¦ https://t.co/l9K9a9ZZlO https://t.co/Xltq8np6fp
Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 41% Trump (R): 39% Kennedy (I): 3% YouGov / June 14, 2024 / n=1011 https://t.co/sAH5j2vNnP
Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 50% (+2) Trump (R): 48% (-1) Beacon/Shaw Research / June 17, 2024 / n=1095 (% Change With May 13, 2024) https://t.co/iOV3VPV9Fc
2024 National GE (Shift since 5/13): Biden 50% (+2) Trump 48% (-1) . Biden 43% (+3) Trump 42% (-1) Kennedy 10% (-1) West 2% (=) Stein 2% (=) .@foxnewspoll, 1,095 RV, 6/14-17 https://t.co/qbNjuduXzL
#New General Election Poll π΅ Biden 50% (+2) π΄ Trump 48% Trump was leading the last poll! Fox - 1,095 RV - 6/17
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @foxnewspoll March π₯ Trump: 50% (+5) π¦ Biden: 45% . May π₯ Trump: 49% (+1) π¦ Biden: 48% . JUNE π¦ Biden: 50% (+2) π₯ Trump: 48% Net 7 point swing towards Biden 538: #15 (2.8/3.0) | 6/14-17 | 1,095 RV https://t.co/BtS1hsUj3Q https://t.co/Xltq8npE4X
2024 National GE: Biden 50% (+2) Trump 48% . Biden 43% (+1) Trump 42% Kennedy 10% West 2% Stein 2% .@foxnewspoll, 1,095 RV, 6/14-17 https://t.co/aFME2JfRHL
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @foxnewspoll π¦ Biden: 50% [+2] π₯ Trump: 48% [-1] --- π¦ Biden: 43% [+3] π₯ Trump: 42% [-1] π¨ RFK Jr: 10% [-1] π¨ West: 2% [=] π© Stein: 2% [=] [+/- change vs May] 538: #15 (2.8/3.0) | 6/14-17 | 1,095 RV https://t.co/BxDnVkgoBB https://t.co/iQkNXW6J41
#Latest @TheEconomist Forecast: Chance of winning: Trump 68% Biden 31% . Electoral votes: Trump 300 Biden 238 https://t.co/dAh6wNg8kZ https://t.co/MBB1cVT9nR https://t.co/zWLyifkR93
2024 National GE: Biden 43% (+1) Trump 42% Kennedy 7% West 1% .@wearebigvillage, 1,423 LV, 6/7-9 M https://t.co/vP6zQ9sm9G
πΊπ² 2024 PRESIDENTIAL FORECAST @TheEconomist (chance of winning) π₯ Trump: 68% π¦ Biden: 31% May 30: Trump 60-39% --- Electoral College π₯ Trump: 300 π¦ Biden: 238 ββ @DecisionDeskHQ (chance of winning) π₯ Trump: 59% π¦ Biden: 41% May 30: Trump 56-44% --- Electoral Collegeβ¦ https://t.co/ilsaAXvIvV
2024 National GE, Among Independents (Shift since 5/23): Biden 50% (+8) Trump 48% (-6) . Biden 35% (+7) Trump 34% (-10) Kennedy 20% (+3) West 4% (+1) Stein 2% (-2) Oliver 2% .@maristpoll/@NPR/@NewsHour, 1,184 RV, 6/10-11 https://t.co/gZn5cdvN3I
2024 National GE, Among Independents: Biden 50% (+8) Trump 48% (-6) . Biden 35% (+7) Trump 34% (-10) Kennedy 20% (+3) West 4% (+1) Stein 2% (-2) Oliver 2% .@maristpoll/@NPR/@NewsHour, 1,184 RV, 6/10-11 https://t.co/gZn5cdvN3I
Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 49% Trump (R): 49% Marist / June 12, 2024 / n=1184 https://t.co/YB2fXJa1GJ
2024 National GE, Among Independents: Biden 50% (+2) Trump 48% . Biden 35% (+1) Trump 34% Kennedy 20% West 4% Stein 2% Oliver 2% .@maristpoll/@NPR/@NewsHour, 1,184 RV, 6/10-11 https://t.co/3jF1dS7fwP
πΊπ² 2024 GE: Among Independent voters [with leaners, June 5-12] CBS/YouGov π¦ Biden: 50% (+2) π₯ Trump: 48% Previous poll: Trump 57-42% β NPR/Marist π¦ Biden: 50% (+2) π₯ Trump: 48% Previous poll: Trump 54-42% ββ Biden's first lead among independents in any Marist and CBSβ¦ https://t.co/bCoYGkzats
2024 National GE (Shift since 5/23): Biden 49% (-1) Trump 49% (+1) . Trump 42% (-2) Biden 41% (+1) Kennedy 11% (+3) West 3% (+1) Stein 1% (-2) Oliver 1% .@maristpoll/@NPR/@NewsHour, 1,184 RV, 6/10-11 https://t.co/3jF1dS7fwP
2024 National GE: Biden 49% Trump 49% . Trump 42% (+1) Biden 41% Kennedy 11% West 3% Stein 1% Oliver 1% .@maristpoll/@NPR/@NewsHour, 1,184 RV, 6/10-11 https://t.co/J5UE0Xex0o
2024 New Mexico GE: Biden 48% (+7) Trump 41% Undecided 11% .@ppppolls/@NMreport, 555 Voters, 6/13-14 https://t.co/qF5ZjKrVA3
#New General Election Poll - New Mexico π΅ Biden 48% (+7) π΄ Trump 41% Public policy #B+ - 555 RV - 6/14
#New General Election Poll π΄ Trump 49% π΅ Biden 49% Likely voters - π΄ Trump 50% (+1) π΅ Biden 49% Biden was leading in May! Marist #A+ - 963 RV - 6/12
πΊπ² 2024 GE: [Among Independent voters] May π₯ Trump: 54% (+12) π¦ Biden: 42% June π¦ Biden: 50% (+2) π₯ Trump: 48% Net 14 point swing towards Biden β Biden's first lead among independents in any Marist 2023/24 polls Sep. 2023: Trump +8 Oct. 2023: Trump +6 Jan. 2024: Trumpβ¦ https://t.co/gfjM4X6lMN https://t.co/sHIeg0AAYo
NPR/Marist: πΊπ² 2024 GE [Among registered voters who definitely plan to vote] April π¦ Biden: 52% (+5) π₯ Trump: 47% . May π¦ Biden: 50% (+1) π₯ Trump: 49% . June π₯ Trump: 50% (+1) π¦ Biden: 49% Net 6 point swing towards Trump #6 (2.9/3.0) | 6/10-12 | 963 RV (Β±4.2%) https://t.co/32fmbfOULP https://t.co/sHIeg0AAYo
2024 National GE: Trump 45% Biden 45% .@Civiqs/@dailykos, 1,140 RV, 6/8-11 https://t.co/EIxp21esui
2024 National GE: Biden 41% (+1) Trump 40% Kennedy 7% .@RedfieldWilton, 1,141 LV, 6/11-12 https://t.co/LGoifJBMdh
Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 41% Trump (R): 40% Kennedy (I): 7% Redfield / June 12, 2024 / n=1141 https://t.co/juDafpYuPi
Presidential Polling Biden (D): 44% Trump (R): 43% Morning Consult / June 16, 2024 / n=10,132 https://t.co/K3xBKwtxiz
2024 National GE: Joe Biden 44% (+1) Donald Trump 43% .@MorningConsult, 10,132 RV, 6/14-16 https://t.co/cBMVoDSksF
#New Forecast from @TheEconomist Chance of winning π΄ Trump 72% π΅ Biden 28% 2016 Throwback π΅ Clinton 71% π΄ Trump 29% https://t.co/FJL09jW2HE
#Latest @TheEconomist Forecast: Chance of winning: Trump 72% Biden 28% . Electoral votes: Trump 306 Biden 232 https://t.co/ooSqeJbeTL https://t.co/YmZOX4uB1k https://t.co/2TatcIA40F
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @RedfieldWilton π¦ Biden: 41% π₯ Trump: 40% π¨ RFK Jr: 7% πͺ Other: 3% β Trends: β’ April: Trump +2 β’ May: Biden +1 β’ June: Biden +1 β 538: #110 (1.8/3.0) | n=1,500 | 6/11-12 https://t.co/jIQeG5hWmX https://t.co/XmEhx6rDXG
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @MorningConsult π¦ Biden: 44% [=] π₯ Trump: 43% [=] πͺ Other: 8% β June 2: Trump +1 June 9: Biden +1 June 16: Biden +1 [+/- change vs June 9] β #116 (1.8/3.0) | 10,132 RV | June 14-16 https://t.co/RI5a7YGIdy https://t.co/2Abb1Em2KF
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @MorningConsult π¦ Biden: 44% [+1] π₯ Trump: 43% [-1] πͺ Other: 8% β June 2: Trump +1 June 9: Biden +1 June 16: Biden +1 [+/- change vs June 9] β #116 (1.8/3.0) | 10,132 RV | June 14-16 https://t.co/RI5a7YHg36 https://t.co/qZWZMbNvJm
πΊπ² 2024 GE: The Economist Forecast (6/17) Chance of winning π₯ Trump: 72% (new high) π¦ Biden: 28% Trends: β’ May 11: Trump 55-44% β’ June 5: Trump 61-39% β’ June 17: Trump 72-28% β Electoral votes π₯ Trump 306 π¦ Biden 232 β Projected vote margin in swing states β’ Georgia:β¦ https://t.co/kgwHBqpx6l https://t.co/fW7HFJg3U5
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @RedfieldWilton | @Telegraph PENNSYLVANIA π₯ Trump: 44% (+2) π¦ Biden: 42% π¨ RFK Jr: 5% π© Stein: 1% β GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 44% (+5) π¦ Biden: 39% π¨ RFK Jr: 6% β MICHIGAN π₯ Trump: 37% (+1) π¦ Biden: 36% π¨ RFK Jr: 8% π© Stein: 1% πͺ Oliver: 1% β ARIZONA π₯β¦ https://t.co/QiIfMkNntq
2024 Arizona GE: Trump 50% (+6) Biden 44% . Trump 45% (+8) Biden 37% Kennedy 11% Stein 3% Oliver 0% Impact Research/@Fabrizio_Lee/@AARP, 600 LV, 5/28-6/4 https://t.co/mPqaQw22HY
2024 National GE (Shift since 6/4): Trump 42% (=) Biden 40% (-2) Kennedy 3% (=) West 1% (=) Stein 1% (=) .@YouGovAmerica/@TheEconomist, 1,399 RV, 6/9-11 https://t.co/iGfcfcYkNo
2024 National GE: Trump 42% (+2) Biden 40% Kennedy 3% West 1% Stein 1% .@YouGovAmerica/@TheEconomist, 1,399 RV, 6/9-11 https://t.co/Aqgm6cfsP9 https://t.co/1LFWRozbNy
2024 National GE: Biden 48% (+1) Trump 47% . Trump 43% (+1) Biden 42% Kennedy 7% Stein 2% West 2% .@EchelonInsights, 1,013 LV, 6/10-12 https://t.co/hc9k7kym4N
2024 National GE (Shift since 5/9): Trump 43% (+1) Biden 42% (-2) .@RMG_Research, 3,000 RV, 6/3-6 https://t.co/9MMeMUeiL3
2024 National GE: Trump 43% (+1) Biden 42% .@RMG_Research, 3,000 RV, 6/3-6 https://t.co/GZ2hqtDyF6
πΊπ² 2024 PRESIDENTIAL FORECAST @TheEconomist (chance of winning) π₯ Trump: 69% π¦ Biden: 31% --- Electoral College π₯ Trump: 301 π¦ Biden: 237 ββ @DecisionDeskHQ (chance of winning) π₯ Trump: 56% π¦ Biden: 44% --- Electoral College π₯ Trump: 279 π¦ Biden: 259 βββ¦ https://t.co/fzJPabdDNe