France is facing a polarizing snap election with far-right leader Marine Le Pen gaining momentum. President Macron's shock snap election has created uncertainty in financial markets, with concerns about fiscal sustainability. The far-right National Rally is leading in polls, raising the possibility of a far-right government. Macron's legacy and reform project are at risk, and a left-wing alliance is seen as a significant risk by analysts. The election outcome could have repercussions beyond France, affecting European politics and the liberal world order.
🇫🇷🗳️ Feeling behind the curve when it comes to preparing for the upcoming French election? - Get briefed via the @MNIMarketNews political risk team’s preview 👇🏻 https://t.co/0t5ks378nt https://t.co/qIov73YbUM
🔵 EXPLAINER-FRANCE'S FINANCES TO COME UNDER FURTHER STRAIN WHOEVER WINS ELECTION Already under scrutiny from ratings agencies, financial markets and Brussels, France's public finances are likely to come under more strain no matter what the outcome of a snap parliamentary… https://t.co/aEEMXTUiDL
French voters will go to the polls this weekend for the first round of parliamentary elections. Columnists discuss why the country’s rising bond yields and the risks of contagion will be uncomfortably familiar for investors. Listen 👇 https://t.co/xPiFesFeWI
MASSIVE A new poll from France shows Marine Le Pen's right-wing party is leading massively with 37% - Way ahead of Macrons party at 21%. Looks like people in France don't want open borders anymore.
🇫🇷 💥MNI French Legislative Election Preview: https://t.co/rblW3gRRud
🇫🇷 💥MNI French Legislative Election Preview: - Macron's surprise election call could most consequential vote in Europe for decades - Our scenario analysis goes through the most & least-likely outcomes over the two rounds - We also include a thorough briefing on France's complex… https://t.co/KkdL3LZkDR
🇫🇷🇬🇧 Officials at Threadneedle Street warned of potential market turmoil after President Emmanuel Macron called a snap poll that could hand a majority to Marine Le Pen’s anti-migration National Rally party Read more: https://t.co/3i3GUeBNJd https://t.co/n2Eo5KNbLU
Whoever wins on Thursday here - the electoral chaos in France is a significant opportunity for UK to change a series of successes from President Macron in turning around France’s image in the world for international investors, especially tech. Macron mastered art of charming…
A guide to the French election, showing how the rise of the anti-immigrant party led by Marine Le Pen is putting France’s unique political system under strain https://t.co/50uritJN6v
France, Ifop-Fiducial poll: RN and allies-ID: 36% NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 28.5% Ensemble-RE: 21% LR/Divers droite-EPP: 6% (-0.5) REC-ECR: 1% (-0.5) Divers centre-*: 1% Far-left candidates-*: 1% Divers gauche-*: 1% (+0.5) +/- vs. 21-25 June 2024 Fieldwork: 22-26 June 2024 Sample… https://t.co/oy6hjutFCx
France's political future was up in the air Thursday with the far-right surging in polls but other forces fighting to the end three days before a high-stakes parliamentary vote. https://t.co/dylE7ByvOj
France's shock election has rattled nerves and raised debt crisis talk https://t.co/yb9VrmtZ0x
French far right dominates polls three days ahead of snap elections ➡️ https://t.co/gSspTmGkrp https://t.co/4awW6GPMd5
Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally has strengthened its lead ahead of the first round of France’s snap legislative election on Sunday, according to Bloomberg’s poll of polls https://t.co/IGwNwv9LPY
France could trigger the next euro crisis https://t.co/yjlruBIpGw via @ft
🇬🇧 French Far-Right Leader Vows To Fight A 'Cultural Battle' Against Islamism ▫Bardella eyes premiership ▫Push for EU rebate ▫'Pragmatism' on economy ▫Le Pen bloc leads polls ▫@labboudles @hallbenjamin #frontpagestoday #UK @FT 🇬🇧 https://t.co/JxMmXBqKOq
🇫🇷 #France | Hollande Mulls Unity Government (A Debrief) ➡ First of all, I think that now the scenario is well known, it could likely tilt some votes towards RN as French right voters dislike Hollande. The fact is that if RN has a relative majority, they likely don't want to…
If @MLP_officiel's far-right #NationalRally wins the French election and @realDonaldTrump wins in November, what then for Europe? It would be a historic pincer grip unlike anything we have seen in many years, writes Joschka Fischer. https://t.co/fajNTPNcgt
What happens if the far right @MLP_officiel @J_Bardella @RNational_off sweeps to power in France on 7 July, with a majority in the National Assembly? 1/
Adam Pankratz: Emmanuel Macron's party faces obliteration in French election https://t.co/1A0xU1Cdpe https://t.co/U9X1eGpzxL
A far-right wave is sweeping through France and while it is polarising the country, there is something many can agree on: a desire to see President Emmanuel Macron's party booted out of office. https://t.co/dV3dvbrB7x
.@gzeromedia How France’s shock election could upend European politics https://t.co/ID3zyfdWL6
Politico: The French election results will be devastating not only for France, but also for the liberal world order. https://t.co/HTNOisjotV
Paris has undergone an astonishing revival in recent years, as part of President Emmanuel Macron’s ambition to make France more innovative and business-friendly. But this project is now in danger https://t.co/sByuf1PxHu 👇
Jordan Bardella said in an interview with the @FT that he's confident of winning an outright majority in legislative elections, which would force president Emmanuel Macron into a power-sharing government https://t.co/3mZplUt56C https://t.co/hxqqW7Gnsf
France's government on Wednesday ordered the dissolution of extreme right and radical Muslim groups, four days before the first round of high-stakes legislative elections that may see a surge in support for political extremes. https://t.co/GRtV28ikN5
French far-right leader Jordan Bardella vows ‘cultural battle’ and demands EU rebate https://t.co/C2v0GfRtCK
This appears to be the first French legislative projection that gives the far-right a possibility of a majority in parliament https://t.co/caxPIbeOZQ
A snap election in France is revealing the flimsiness of Emmanuel Macron’s legacy. One victim could be his own project of reform. The signs so far are ominous https://t.co/w71fjrNFrp 👇
All polls in France currently have Le Pen's National Rally in 1st, the leftist coalition in 2nd, and the establishment/centrists in 3rd, which would mean that the centrist voters would be forced to choose between 1 & 2 in the runoff One heuristic has them breaking Le Pen 2:1 https://t.co/4pZWAkesBP
The latest poll shows that France's right-wing parties are clearly in the lead and should win enough seats for Jordan Bardella to form a new government of the Fifth Republic https://t.co/aFA7kcS2jk
'France has gone to the dogs!' Marine Le Pen making inroads in conservative heartland in blow to Macron https://t.co/VjeoqmWQ1B
📊🇫🇷 Législatives 2024 | Projection en sièges ▪️RN et alliés : 250-305 ▪️NFP : 125-155 ▪️Ensemble : 75-125 ▪️LR : 30-50 (Harris Interactive • 26/06) https://t.co/o1OGrEkPKj
'Emmanuel Macron evoked the astonishing possibility of 'civil war' after the elections. That may be another gambit in Macron’s ‘project fear’. 'Heaven forfend, though, that it be a preamble for invoking emergency powersallowing the president to rule by decree.' ✍️ John Keiger
🇫🇷 Is France headed for a far-right absolute majority? This map of June’s European election results shows the only parts of the country that Marine Le Pen’s National Rally failed to conquer are Paris and a handful of other big cities... https://t.co/9WBCfRdwO5
🔵 IN FRENCH ALPS, MACRON'S PARTY STRUGGLES TO HOLD CONSERVATIVE HEARTLAND Paul Guigue, an entrepreneur from the French Alps, twice voted for Emmanuel Macron's party but now plans to cast his ballot for the far-right National Rally in protest at the French president's liberal…
Marine Le Pen – or the hard left? Macron has left France’s voters with a ‘scary choice’ | Paul Taylor https://t.co/Q960ayLNkY
France’s government on Wednesday ordered the dissolution of extreme right and radical Muslim groups — four days before the first round of high-stakes legislative elections. https://t.co/Pwo3XH7iUD
Last night's debate between the leaders of France's 3 main political groups—all under 40 years of age—tried to highlight their differences. The markets weakened slightly today: bond spreads widened by 2bps and stocks sold off about 1%. Bardella (who is under 30) is head of the… https://t.co/zQ858WpwGB
France’s government orders dissolution of extreme right and radical Muslim groups, 4 days before the first round of high-stakes legislative elections that may see a surge in support for political extremes https://t.co/TDPYAFDFYA
🔵 FACTBOX-KEY PARTY FIGURES TO KNOW IN THE FRENCH ELECTION CAMPAIGN France is the closest it has been to having a far-right government since World War Two, with the anti-immigrant National Rally (RN) riding high in opinion polls ahead of a snap legislative election on June 30… https://t.co/7MnyhOE37K
France bans extreme-right and radical Islamic groups ahead of polarizing elections https://t.co/wqQOoVJGp3
French Jews Maury and Alain Fischler feel trapped between far-right and left-wing extremes as France heads into a snap election with the far right leading the polls. https://t.co/lB4yPrUEOe
The political outcome of President Emmanuel Macron’s snap election remains highly uncertain, but economically it may come to be seen as marking the start of a more turbulent era https://t.co/5LE9yV1rDY 👇
Some moooar market expectations on French elections Hung parliament clearly seen as the most likely https://t.co/yqlS0HwT7t
Emmanuel Macron’s European vision is in big trouble https://t.co/SIzzunMTuW
After a big loss in voting for the European parliament, President Emmanuel Macron of France has gambled on new elections, bringing the far right closer than ever to gaining real power in the country. Listen to "The Daily." https://t.co/5o5wTm5TbI
Adam Pankratz: 'A clash of extremes' — far-left and hard-right face off in French election https://t.co/mBObwNAu2p https://t.co/8IyPYf87SI
President Emmanuel Macron’s shock snap election has rocked #France’s bond market, the largest in the euro zone, as a strong showing for the far right and left wing parties in opinion polls exacerbates concerns about fiscal sustainability. https://t.co/Q4nqouNA5k
Business - France's major parties trade barbs over economy in TV debate ➡️ https://t.co/Znb1RiA5IJ https://t.co/XLkEA26vZm
France’s 2017 elections provided a very different market stress https://t.co/Qphd3K4Uy5 via @mikamsika @highisland https://t.co/CYxfyRLMoq
French Jews caught between extremes in polarising snap election https://t.co/eSPDkc3T5c https://t.co/2maq9MWQRk
🔵 FRENCH JEWS CAUGHT BETWEEN EXTREMES IN POLARISING SNAP ELECTION As French Jews, Maury and Alain Fischler feel trapped between equally unpalatable extremes as France rushes into a snap election with the far right ahead in the polls, followed by a left-wing bloc they say… https://t.co/VEchIcYyHC
Le Pen’s party boosts its French lead: Bloomberg poll of polls https://t.co/tp8nPpaIHo via @JReganReg https://t.co/tJR9IjpW1H
- comms chiefs admit no polls show candidates should align themselves to the leader to save their seats - not only did he surprise close aides with snap election, his brand is toxic and he's considered a liability Great @SamyAdghirni piece on Macron >> https://t.co/2cAvvCoG7p
In France, the ECB and Macronian elites have engineered a fiscal panic in order to scare voters from voting for Le Pen — and send a message to the next government: toe the EU-NATO line, or else. My latest on the EU’s manipulation of the 🇫🇷 elections: https://t.co/FN0Tb6152w
Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally has continued to widen its lead ahead of the first round of France’s snap legislative election https://t.co/8mWRTASYPz
Mapping Marine Le Pen's conquest of French votes suggests her National Rally party may be on track to win an absolute majority in the forthcoming elections, @LionelRALaurent writes https://t.co/NjUBEr2WWO via @opinion
Macron’s snap election could trigger the next debt crisis https://t.co/XbufXun3sd
Markets wake up to left-wing French election risk https://t.co/bdW700267Z https://t.co/GHZhvqp3qT
President Emmanuel Macron's shock snap election has rocked France's bond market, the largest in the euro zone, as a strong showing for the far right and left wing parties in opinion polls exacerbates concerns about fiscal sustainability https://t.co/p3INFJ4XLf
President Emmanuel Macron's shock snap election has rocked France's bond market, the largest in the euro zone, as a strong showing for the far right and left wing parties in opinion polls exacerbates concerns about fiscal sustainability. More here: https://t.co/hEPgIlFrab
Leaders of France’s 3 biggest political groups clashed in their first TV debate on everything from retirement and taxes to immigration as they sought to convince voters that they can be trusted to run Europe’s second-biggest economy https://t.co/68nm6KDhKN via @SamyAdghirni https://t.co/jb6ToCBMZ9
🔵 WHO OWNS FRANCE'S DEBT AND WHY IT MATTERS President Emmanuel Macron's shock snap election has rocked France's bond market, the largest in the euro zone, as a strong showing for the far right and left wing parties in opinion polls exacerbates concerns about fiscal… https://t.co/qxvtjgcACK
"French President Emmanuel Macron’s surprise dissolution of the National Assembly following his humiliating European election defeat is producing shockwaves across the entire political landscape well beyond France" ✍️ Opinion by Alain Gabon https://t.co/iDjh0endBN
Emmanuel Macron's former allies are hoping the beleaguered president will keep a low profile as his behavior grows increasingly desperate. https://t.co/Pp1F59QVHu
Mapping Marine Le Pen's conquest of French votes suggests her National Rally party may be on track to win an absolute majority in the forthcoming elections, @LionelRALaurent writes https://t.co/hWSxqz7Qv7
BBC: Macron's election gamble puts French democracy on the table https://t.co/j8Eu50BEkh https://t.co/XuWGtmBFvi
BNP Paribas on what's priced into FX markets with upcoming French elections https://t.co/cH16nbicXo
French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal and the chief of the main far-right party Jordan Bardella clashed in an ill-tempered debate that exposed fierce tensions less than a week ahead of the most polarizing election in decades. https://t.co/58XWq45KFQ
In today's #threatstatus newsletter: French President Emmanuel Macron is risking chaos and uncertainty in the halls of power and on the streets with his call for snap parliamentary elections before the world gathers in Paris next month. https://t.co/jgRWTed6Jj
French PM refuses to 'promise the moon', clashes with far-right in debate https://t.co/P3E4Yklyq6 https://t.co/6YHzI5exS2
The snap parliamentary election in France is just days away. If voters return a majority government dominated by either the extreme right or left, the country could be in for a complicated tussle https://t.co/AKr8qygeNA 👇
French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal and the chief of the main far-right party Jordan Bardella clashed in an ill-tempered debate that exposed fierce tensions less than a week ahead of the most polarising election in decades. https://t.co/3O5S7m4ln0 https://t.co/q97rPdQGLS
Leaders of France’s three biggest political groups clashed in their first televised debate on everything from retirement and taxes to immigration as they sought to convince voters that they can be trusted to run Europe’s second-biggest economy. https://t.co/0FGW46CdDb
French PM, far-right chief clash in election debate exposing fierce tensions ➡️ https://t.co/GFBEo1WAI3 https://t.co/TUyzOsYEqT
Macron’s disastrous reign: highest deficit in EU, eviction from Africa, conflict with Russia French President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to dissolve the parliament and call snap elections is a gamble, observers say. Macron hopes that his Renaissance party, which performed badly… https://t.co/0d9UWh3yK5 https://t.co/6iPqtuAmzU
Far-right advances in the European Parliament elections have destabilized politics in France, a longstanding pillar of the European Union, and highlighted fault lines in the bloc, writes expert @LianaFix. https://t.co/LdvLP7NVMQ
France’s looming snap elections throw cold water on Macron's warmongering Ukraine bluster With snap elections on the horizon in France, Ukraine has taken a back seat, while Macron has remained muted on the subject, writes Le Monde. The “earthquake” dissolution of the French… https://t.co/DaYY2HXJ52
Investors concerned by French elections, Paris stock market head says https://t.co/WGo1t6rGdC https://t.co/THohVS6fiy
Breakingviews - Why the French vote also matters to Italy: podcast https://t.co/6xYYTOumWt https://t.co/6xYYTOumWt
🔵 MARKETS WAKE UP TO LEFT-WING FRENCH ELECTION RISK For investors in France, a left-wing alliance could be a bigger risk than a far-right leadership, some analysts say. Full Story via Reuters on PiQ Suite - Link in Bio
France (Nord's 10th constituency, runoff), Ifop poll: Scenario: three-way runoff Darmanin (RE-RE): 44% Verbrugghe (RN-ID): 29% Mortreux (NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D): 27% +/- vs. 2022 election Fieldwork: 18-20 June 2024 Sample size: 602 ➤ https://t.co/oL97q6lO3I https://t.co/yDut00tKAq
The outcome of snap elections in France will reverberate beyond its borders. Italy is particularly exposed if borrowing costs rise. Former top Treasury official Fabrizio Pagani joined @LJucca to discuss Rome’s fiscal challenges in a changing EU landscape https://t.co/Q3btWEZUD7
Following the defeat of the centrist bloc at the European elections, the EU is mobilising to thwart the threat of Le Pen’s party. The EU is blackmailing National Rally, writes @battleforeeurope:👇 https://t.co/2QAF4wzA3b
France, Ifop-Fiducial poll: RN and allies-ID: 36% NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 28.5% (-1) Ensemble-RE: 21% (+0.5) LR/Divers droite-EPP: 6.5% (-0.5) REC-ECR: 1.5% (+0.5) Divers centre-*: 1% Far-left candidates-*: 1% Divers gauche-*: 0.5% (-0.5) +/- vs. 20-24 June 2024 Fieldwork:… https://t.co/tMkgZhk4Ia
Opinion polls are not going Emmanuel Macron’s way ahead of France’s snap election. Discover what’s at stake for the French president and track the latest polls: https://t.co/8ZclkgJGxC https://t.co/eBR6NBazzA
Far-right National Rally ready to govern France, Jordan Bardella says at manifesto launch https://t.co/mcxnpFa7nM
🇫🇷 Oh my ... Emmanuel Macron has done more damage than Liz Truss ever did ... TELEGRAPH The French president’s electoral gamble has sealed the euro’s fate as an orphan currency https://t.co/BAhCfnCUsb
If you follow what's going on in France, this 👇 is one of the most interesting threads I've seen lately. Basically he says that the most likely election result is that none of the 3 blocs (Macron, Le Pen and the left's Popular Front) will have an absolute majority (i.e. more… https://t.co/Wscg6QK4P1
If you follow what's going on in France, this 👇 is one of the most interesting threads I've seen lately. Basically he says that the most likely election result is that none of the 3 blocs (Macron, Le Pen and the left's popular front) will have an absolute majority (i.e. more… https://t.co/Wscg6QK4P1
🇫🇷 🤔 What @EmmanuelMacron hopes for in a tense standoff with far right for parliament https://t.co/rijbwqZB6l
French politics are sliding into disarray. But I wouldn't bet against French stocks based on this political event. In fact, the growing uncertainty surrounding this market could be a major buying opportunity. France is facing its "Brexit" moment ➡️ https://t.co/04EGg91RRs https://t.co/Q20rBRkuKw
France turned with Macron to the centre left and now will move father to the left with le Pen's National Rally. le Pen's National Rally is a national state capitalist (diluted form of national socialism). The capitalist right in France is now deep asleep in intensive care. https://t.co/Wz7FC4xGHa
🇫🇷 debate tonight between PM candidates of the major parties:Attal (Macron’s party),Bardella (Le Pen’s party) and Bompard (far left coalition) Debate starts at 9pm (3pm EST) Will be interesting to see if Bardella improves upon his lackluster debate performance pre-EU election
"With a struggling economy, Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella will further weaponise cultural and identitarian issues, and increasingly toxify life in France for minorities" ✍️ Opinion by Alain Gabon https://t.co/EGXpQ9Ju1z
The strategy being deployed in France is one we’ve seen before: the EU creates an artificial financial panic and national elites then use that to scare voters away from the “wrong” candidate. My latest on the EU’s economic war on Me Pen: https://t.co/ggCI0N1hYU