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Prediction markets for Mustafa
Who will be on an episode of Conversations with Tyler in 2024?
Dec 5, 8:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
30
12981
Who will be guests on the Lex Fridman podcast in 2024?
Dec 24, 9:34 PM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
58
36726
Will Inflection AI still exist EOY 2025?
Mar 22, 6:16 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
53.75%
chance
13
352
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1015
974
Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?
Sep 6, 5:04 PM
Jul 31, 9:59 PM
14.65%
chance
11
390
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1181
943
An American quickly has at least 30 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2028
Sep 26, 8:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
12.41%
chance
11
395
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1029
975
An American quickly has at least 160 children in a 4 year interval, anytime through 2036
Sep 26, 8:12 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
17.84%
chance
3
87
Option
Votes
YES
NO
176
54
An American quickly has at least 90 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
Sep 26, 8:02 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
33.78%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
90
56
AI equivalent of IPCC before 2027?
Jan 12, 9:21 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
29%
chance
5
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
158
112
An American quickly has at least 15 children in a 2 year interval, anytime through 2027
Sep 26, 8:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
24.45%
chance
4
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
185
69
Someone has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
Sep 26, 8:14 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
83.14%
chance
4
295
Option
Votes
NO
YES
238
33
An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
Sep 26, 8:02 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
33.55%
chance
3
46
Option
Votes
YES
NO
134
93
AI equivalent of IPCC before 2030?
Jan 12, 9:17 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
56%
chance
5
60
Option
Votes
NO
YES
146
115
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