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Mohammed News
Prediction markets for Mohammed
Prediction markets for Mohammed
Will Mohammed Deif, military commander of Hamas, survive 2024?
Jan 2, 8:13 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
69.7%
chance
13
387
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1117
913
Mohammed Deif (Hamas military commander) killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?
Oct 31, 1:55 AM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
31.59%
chance
44
3179
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1252
729
Will Mohammed Ben Sulayem still be FIA president on Jan 1 2025?
Mar 5, 3:38 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
85.31%
chance
3
220
Option
Votes
NO
YES
337
60
Conditional upon an invasion of Niger, will Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum be restored to de facto control of Niger?
Aug 4, 11:09 AM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
33.49%
chance
9
267
Option
Votes
YES
NO
286
149
Will Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) cease to be de facto leader of Saudi Arabia before 2030?
Nov 7, 6:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
18%
chance
5
125
Option
Votes
YES
NO
225
91
Will Mohammed Dahlan return to Gaza by the end of 2024?
Dec 12, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
47.59%
chance
5
245
Option
Votes
YES
NO
91
88
Will Mohammed Dahlan return to Gaza by 2025?
Nov 2, 6:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.7%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
90
55
Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?
Nov 3, 8:15 AM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
525
334428
Who will be the TIME 2024 Person of the Year?
Dec 4, 3:40 AM
Dec 11, 7:59 AM
170
46331
Who will be the first trillionaire?
Nov 9, 3:14 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
79
12770
What will be the name of the next Elon Musk child? [Free Response, resolves to W/P/S poll of who was closest]
Sep 13, 5:35 PM
Oct 1, 7:00 AM
83
12905
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
332
289750
Articles
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8
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9
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5
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6
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4
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9
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10
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13
7 months
Israel
World
Politics
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