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Emmett News
Prediction markets for Emmett
Prediction markets for Emmett
Will Emmett Shear be paid any money for their stint as OpenAI Ceo?
Nov 22, 6:27 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
80.19%
chance
11
312
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1083
964
Whose P(Doom) is higher: Emmett Shear (YES) or Sam Altman (NO)?
Jan 25, 6:21 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
84.89%
chance
15
282
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1132
956
Is Emmett Shear the interim ex-CEO of OpenAI?
Nov 24, 11:35 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15.44%
chance
2
67
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
41
Is Emmett Shear more concerned about x-risk than Sam Altman?
Jan 25, 5:17 PM
Jan 26, 4:59 AM
90.76%
chance
11
313
Option
Votes
NO
YES
451
106
will emmett shear (@eshear) learn algebraic topology by the end of 2024
Feb 20, 9:02 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.7%
chance
3
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
171
48
P(Doom) - Emmett Shear
Mar 31, 12:35 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7
222
Will Emmett Shear be on the OpenAI board at any point before the end of 2024?
Nov 22, 8:31 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
9.95%
chance
7
282
Option
Votes
YES
NO
297
109
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Nov 22, 9:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
19
1909
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Who will be acting CEO of OpenAI on September 1st, 2024?
May 23, 1:58 AM
Sep 2, 6:59 AM
76
19439
Who will be the next CEO of Boeing?
Mar 25, 10:24 PM
Dec 26, 4:59 AM
7
463
Who will be a UFC champion at some point?
Mar 27, 6:07 PM
Sep 9, 2:29 PM
10
1010
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