Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Emmett News
Prediction markets for Emmett
Prediction markets for Emmett
Will Emmett Shear be paid any money for their stint as OpenAI Ceo?
Nov 22, 6:27 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
80.19%
chance
11
312
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1083
964
Whose P(Doom) is higher: Emmett Shear (YES) or Sam Altman (NO)?
Jan 25, 6:21 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
84.89%
chance
15
282
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1132
956
Is Emmett Shear the interim ex-CEO of OpenAI?
Nov 24, 11:35 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15.44%
chance
2
67
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
41
Is Emmett Shear more concerned about x-risk than Sam Altman?
Jan 25, 5:17 PM
Jan 26, 4:59 AM
90.76%
chance
11
313
Option
Votes
NO
YES
451
106
will emmett shear (@eshear) learn algebraic topology by the end of 2024
Feb 20, 9:02 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.7%
chance
3
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
171
48
P(Doom) - Emmett Shear
Mar 31, 12:35 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7
222
Will Emmett Shear be on the OpenAI board at any point before the end of 2024?
Nov 22, 8:31 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
9.95%
chance
7
282
Option
Votes
YES
NO
297
109
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Nov 22, 9:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
19
1909
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
293198
Who will be acting CEO of OpenAI on September 1st, 2024?
May 23, 1:58 AM
Sep 2, 6:59 AM
76
19439
Who will be the next CEO of Boeing?
Mar 25, 10:24 PM
Dec 26, 4:59 AM
7
463
Who will be a UFC champion at some point?
Mar 27, 6:07 PM
Sep 9, 2:29 PM
10
1010
Articles
Latest stories
No stories found