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Prediction markets for WIRED
Prediction markets for WIRED
Will Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?
May 3, 1:31 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22.7%
chance
20
224
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1102
949
Will Google announce a Pixel model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?
May 3, 1:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.06%
chance
11
116
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1094
952
Will Destiny join Daily Wire before 2025?
Nov 15, 10:38 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
3.17%
chance
21
3135
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2501
843
Will Google announce a Pixel model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2029?
May 2, 6:09 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65.53%
chance
8
77
Option
Votes
NO
YES
138
73
A Drive-by-wire related disaster leads to widespread criticism and requests for regulation of the technology by mid 2025
Jan 16, 9:06 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
19.96%
chance
5
103
Option
Votes
YES
NO
189
102
Will the DOJ charge Tesla with wire fraud or securities fraud?
May 8, 9:18 PM
May 9, 4:59 AM
54.61%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
91
Will Manifold promptly wire all the panic donations due to The Pivot?
Apr 23, 1:40 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
55.1%
chance
4
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
134
107
Will the DOJ charge Tesla executives with wire fraud or securities fraud?
May 8, 9:20 PM
May 9, 4:59 AM
53.04%
chance
3
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
94
Will Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2029?
May 2, 6:08 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
45.02%
chance
5
51
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Why did Shohei Ohtani wire $4.5m to a bookmaker?
Mar 22, 9:38 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
57
6166
Will Texas Allow Border Patrol To Tear Down The Razor Wire At Eagle Pass By The End Of 2024?
Feb 23, 6:34 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
64.73%
chance
5
191
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
96
What is the hardest line in fiction, according to Manifold?
Apr 10, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3791
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