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Prediction markets for UAW
Prediction markets for UAW
Will Shawn Fain be forced out of the UAW Presidency due to scandal/crime/etc.?
Oct 24, 9:53 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19.73%
chance
3
57
Option
Votes
YES
NO
147
63
Will Shawn Fain be the president of the UAW for the rest of his life?
Sep 28, 5:43 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
35.7%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
75
Will Shawn Fain be gone as the president of the UAW before the end of 2024?
Sep 28, 5:43 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.55%
chance
2
16
Option
Votes
YES
NO
106
78
Will Shawn Fain be gone as the president of the UAW by mid 2025
Jan 1, 4:29 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
40.19%
chance
0
11
Option
Votes
YES
NO
61
41
Will Shawn Fain be gone as the president of the UAW before EOY 2024?
Dec 20, 6:55 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
42.63%
chance
0
8
Option
Votes
YES
NO
58
43
Will there be a UAW union at a Tesla plant with at least 100 members in it by EOY 2025
Dec 20, 7:09 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
18.12%
chance
3
135
Option
Votes
YES
NO
225
59
Will there be a UAW union at a Tesla plant with at least 100 members in it, before EOY 2024?
Sep 28, 6:01 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
29.98%
chance
7
240
Option
Votes
YES
NO
194
122
Will the UAW unionize VW Chattanooga?
Mar 20, 3:16 AM
9
0
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before Veterans Day (November 11th)? [ADD YOUR OWN]
Jul 1, 7:22 AM
Nov 12, 8:00 PM
8
2128
"Boat Owners Only" sign - correct interpretation? at Morro Bay, CA
Nov 25, 8:46 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
13
1366
Will Shawn Fain have started another major strike or labor dispute by mid 2026?
Jan 1, 4:31 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
61%
chance
0
13
Option
Votes
NO
YES
63
40
Will Biden join another striking picket line in 2024?
Jan 17, 2:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
36%
chance
8
197
Option
Votes
YES
NO
160
106
Articles
Latest stories
Pro-Palestinian Protests Cause Unrest at UCLA, Cal State LA, and Oxford University
Authors
18
18 days
Israel
Los Angeles
Crime
UAW President Shawn Fain Investigated for Abuse of Power, Financial Improprieties, and Workplace Retaliation
Authors
19
20 days
Politics
UAW Reaches Tentative Agreement with Ultium Cells Including 30% Raises; President Shawn Fain Faces Investigation
Authors
4
21 days
Economics
Business
UC Faces Labor Dispute as State Board Upholds Workers' Right to Gaza-Related Strike Across Five Campuses
Authors
5
28 days
Israel
San Francisco
Crime
UAW Challenges Mercedes-Benz Alabama Plant Vote Result After Union Loss
Authors
11
1 month
Politics
UAW Seeks New Election at Mercedes-Benz Alabama Plants After Union Vote Loss
Authors
23
1 month
Economics
Business
UAW Faces Setback at Alabama Mercedes Plant Despite Growing Union Support in 2023, 44% Support
Authors
15
1 month
Economics
Business
UC Academic Workers Authorize Strike Over Gaza Protests, Aim to Maximize Chaos
Authors
11
2 months
Israel
Economics
World
48,000 UC Graduate Student Workers Across 10 Campuses Authorize Strike Over Pro-Palestinian Protest Crackdown
Authors
16
2 months
Israel
World
Politics
5,000+ Alabama Mercedes-Benz Workers Vote on UAW Unionization in a Significant Test for Historically Anti-Union American South
Authors
58
2 months
Economics
Business
Nick Saban disputes pro-union ad, speaks at Mercedes-Benz plant on college football unionization
Authors
6
2 months
Politics
UAW Grad Student Union Files Labor Board Case Against Harvard Over Pro-Palestinian Demonstrations in Gaza
Authors
4
2 months
Israel
Economics
World
US Raises Concerns with Germany over Mercedes-Benz Union-Busting in Alabama Ahead of Union Vote, UAW Allegations
Authors
4
2 months
Economics
Business
UPenn Grad Students Unionize with UAW, Largest in 50 Years with 95% Approval
Authors
6
2 months
Politics
Volkswagen to Negotiate with UAW After Workers Vote to Unionize in Tennessee
Authors
5
2 months
Politics
UAW and Daimler Truck Reach Deal, Avoid Strike; Pay Hike of Over 25% Energizes Workers for Mercedes-Benz Vote in Alabama, 67% Increase Expected
Authors
8
2 months
Politics
UAW Secures 25% Wage Increase in Daimler Deal, Biden Applauds Union Power
Authors
12
2 months
Politics
President Biden Lauds UAW-Daimler Contract, Highlights Union Benefits
Authors
4
2 months
Economics
Business
Daimler Truck Faces Imminent Strike by 7,300 U.S. Workers, Deadline by Friday
Authors
6
2 months
Economics
Business
UAW's Shawn Fain Drives Major Union Push After Tennessee VW Plant Victory
Authors
4
2 months
Politics
UAW Wins Landslide Union Vote at Tennessee VW Plant, Targets Alabama Next
Authors
19
2 months
Politics
Delta Raises Staff Wages by 5%, Increases Starting Pay to $19 Amid Union Push
Authors
9
2 months
Economics
Business
Mercedes-Benz Alabama Workers to Vote on UAW Membership May 13-17
Authors
9
2 months
Economics
Business
VW Chattanooga Workers Join UAW, First Nonunion Automaker Union Since 1941
Authors
119
2 months
Politics
UAW Election at Volkswagen Could Transform Auto Unionization; Results Due Friday
Authors
5
2 months
Politics
UAW's Effort to Unionize Volkswagen U.S. Plant Could Upend Auto Industry
Authors
9
3 months
Politics
UAW Poised for Historic Union Win at VW Plant in Tennessee on April 17
Authors
9
3 months
Economics
Business
UAW Targets Southern U.S. for Labor Expansion, Nears Unionization at Volkswagen
Authors
4
3 months
Politics
UAW, Led by Shawn Fain, Targets Daimler Truck, Eyes Historic VW Unionization
Authors
8
3 months
Politics
Growing Trend of Four-Day Workweeks Gains Traction in U.S. to Combat Burnout and Improve Work-Life Balance
Authors
15
3 months
Economics
Business
Volvo to Build Mexico Truck Plant, UAW "Extremely Disappointed"
Authors
4
3 months
Economics
Business
5,000 Workers at Mercedes-Benz Alabama Seek Union Election with UAW, NLRB to Organize Vote
Authors
17
3 months
Economics
Business
UAW Targets Volkswagen, Mercedes for Unionization; Files Charges Against Mercedes, Membership Drops 3.3%
Authors
8
3 months
Crime
Politics
Culture
UAW Membership Drops 3.3% to 370,000, Lowest Since 2009, Report Shows
Authors
5
3 months
Economics
Business
Workers United Succeeds in Starbucks Union Votes Across Multiple States: Little Rock, Sulphur LA, San Jose, Reno, O'Farrell IL, Antioch CA
Authors
7
3 months
Politics
Union Workers Secure Victories at Fort Worth Molson Coors, MASS MoCA, EquitasHealth
Authors
5
3 months
Politics
Workers at Fort Worth Molson Coors, UAW, EquitasHealth Secure Wage Increases and Benefits
Authors
5
3 months
Politics
Volkswagen Chattanooga Workers to Vote on UAW Unionization Decision
Authors
5
3 months
Economics
Business
400 Art Gallery of Ontario Workers Strike; UAW Files Charges Against Mercedes
Authors
10
3 months
Canada
World
France and Germany Explore 4-Day Workweek; Sanders Pushes for 32-Hour Week, UAW Demand Not Met
Authors
8
3 months
Politics
Sanders Pushes for 32-Hour Workweek in 2024 Amid Criticism, UAW Efforts Fail
Authors
5
3 months
Politics
U.S. Autoworkers Target Toyota, World's Largest Automaker, and VW for Unionization
Authors
4
3 months
Economics
Business
Unionization Efforts Gain Momentum in U.S. Tennessee & Tesla's German plant; UAW vs. IG Metall Union
Authors
9
3 months
Economics
Business
USW President Expects Biden Endorsement; UAW Vote at Volkswagen in Tennessee; IG Metall Wins Tesla Vote in Germany's Grünheide
Authors
11
3 months
Economics
Business
USW Union Endorses Biden for Reelection, Aiding Campaign in Swing States
Authors
5
3 months
Economics
Business
Sanders, UAW Push for 32-Hour Week, Cite 400% Productivity Rise, No Pay Cut
Authors
6
3 months
Politics
70% of VW Tennessee Workers File for Union Vote, First Since Ford in 1941
Authors
20
4 months
Economics
Business
Canadian Airbus A220 production workers reject contract, consider strike; UAW files for union vote at VW plant
Authors
6
4 months
Economics
Business
UAW president Shawn Fain Supports Senator Bernie Sanders' 32-Hour Workweek Bill, Sparking Inflation Concerns
Authors
26
4 months
Politics
Senate Debates 32-Hour Workweek with No Pay Cut, Backed by 64% of Americans
Authors
37
4 months
AI
Politics
Tech
Ontario Catholic Teachers, UAW Gain 30% Support at Missouri Toyota Plant
Authors
13
4 months
Politics
Nearly a Third of Missouri Toyota Workers Seek UAW Unionization Amid Industry Challenges
Authors
9
4 months
Politics
Majority of Alabama Mercedes Workers Join UAW in Unionization Effort
Authors
11
4 months
Politics
Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares' Pay Jumps 56% to US$39.5M Amid Layoffs
Authors
4
4 months
Canada
World
Tennessee Company Fined for Illegally Employing Children to Clean Slaughterhouses, UAW Commits $40 Million for Organizing Workers
Authors
10
4 months
Politics
Ford UAW Workers Threaten Strike on 2024-02-20 Over Contract Demands Amid $40M Unionizing Push
Authors
4
4 months
Politics
UAW and Ford Avert Strike at Kentucky's Most Profitable Plant
Authors
9
4 months
Politics
Biden Admin May Delay EPA EV Mandates, Citing UAW Concerns
Authors
36
4 months
China
World
Politics
Ford CEO Jim Farley rethinks manufacturing locations post-UAW strike
Authors
25
5 months
Economics
Business
U.S. Labor Strikes Surge 141% in 2023; Airline Pilots Secure Major Pay Raises
Authors
11
5 months
Politics
Minneapolis Overrides Mayor Jacob Frey's Veto on Gaza Ceasefire
Authors
8
5 months
Israel
World
Politics
Volkswagen Chattanooga Plant Workers Sign Up to Unionize with UAW
Authors
9
5 months
Politics
UAW Targets Southern Auto Plants, Scores Win with Majority Sign-Up at VW Tennessee
Authors
5
5 months
Economics
Business
Wells Fargo in Wilmington, Delaware, Nitehawk Cinema in New York Workers Unionize Amid Service Workers' Push for Better Conditions
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
Trump Blasts Biden's EV Push, Eyes Flipping Blue States, Teases NYC Rallies
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
5,000 Car Dealers, Trump Slam Biden's 'Radical' EV Agenda
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
UAW President: No Trump Endorsement, 'Stands Against Working Class'
Authors
4
5 months
Politics
UAW President Endorses Biden, 'Fight Like Hell' Against Trump, Alleged Union Poser Scandal
Authors
10
5 months
Politics
UAW Backs Biden in Michigan; President Avoids Gaza Protesters
Authors
13
5 months
Israel
World
Politics
Biden Secures UAW Support, Vows to 'Fight Like Hell' for Labor in Michigan Visit
Authors
15
5 months
Israel
World
Politics
Trump Slams 'Dope' UAW President for Biden Endorsement Amid 2024 Labor Vote Battle
Authors
8
5 months
Economics
Business
Biden's UAW-Backed Michigan Trip Faces Arab-American Ire Over Gaza
Authors
21
5 months
Israel
World
Politics
UAW's Push for Nonunion Auto Workers Gains Ground in Southeast
Authors
5
5 months
Economics
Business
Over 30% of Nearly 4,000 Workers at Hyundai's Alabama Plant Join UAW's Third Southeast Drive
Authors
4
5 months
Politics
UAW Endorses Biden; Trump Courts Teamsters Amid Battleground States Focus
Authors
13
5 months
Politics
U.S. Lawmakers Urge Export Restrictions on Chinese Companies Involved in Ford Motor Michigan Battery Plant as Biden Plans UAW Meeting in Michigan; Administration Considers Tariffs on Chinese EVs, Trump Seeks Union Support
Authors
15
5 months
China
World
Politics
Trump-Biden Feud Escalates Over UAW Endorsement by Shawn Fain
Authors
15
5 months
China
World
Politics
UAW President Accuses Biden of Serving Others, Trump Criticizes 'Get rid of this dope', Autoworkers Reject Endorsement
Authors
4
5 months
Politics
U.S. Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su Engages with Connecticut Labor Leaders in New Haven, Senator Sanders Celebrates Historic UAW Contract
Authors
4
5 months
Politics
UAW President Shawn Fain Admits Majority Won't Vote Biden; Senator JD Vance Criticizes Biden's Green Energy Agenda; Union Boss Turns on Biden, Suggests Trump Support
Authors
6
5 months
China
World
Politics
Joe Biden and Chuck Schumer Support UAW's Advocacy for Workers' Rights and PROAct Passage
Authors
11
5 months
Politics
UAW Endorses Joe Biden; Senators Masto, Murray, Schumer Express Support
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
Biden's EV Mandate Criticized for Job Losses, Vetoes Buy-American Waiver
Authors
18
5 months
Politics
Biden Faces GOP Opposition Over EV 'Green Fantasy', Courts UAW in Swing States
Authors
13
5 months
Politics
Biden's 'Green Commie Plan' EV Strategy Criticized as UAW Endorses Him, Ford Shifts to Gas
Authors
15
5 months
Politics
Biden's EV Mandates Criticized for Potential Loss of 117,000 Jobs, UAW Endorsement Looms in Michigan
Authors
19
5 months
China
World
Politics
Biden Keynote Speaker at UAW, Courts Michigan and Wisconsin Workers
Authors
8
5 months
Economics
Business
UAW's Non-Endorsement of Biden's EV Push Criticized by Republican Senators
Authors
11
5 months
Politics
Tesla Raises U.S. Workers' Pay Amid Union Push, Shares Tumble
Authors
17
6 months
Economics
Business
Tesla Shares Fall as Fremont Factory Workers Get Pay Raise Amid UAW Push
Authors
26
6 months
Economics
Business
UAW Campaign Gains Momentum as Over 1,500 Autoworkers at Alabama Mercedes Plant Sign Union Cards, Exceeding 30%
Authors
10
6 months
Politics
Democratic Senators Urge Tesla, Toyota, Honda to Stay Neutral in UAW Unionization Efforts
Authors
14
6 months
Economics
Business
Over 350,000 Union Members in NYC Target AIPAC, Demand Gaza Ceasefire; Houthis Join Support
Authors
10
6 months
Israel
World
Culture
Union Workers Rally in NYC Demanding Ceasefire, Thousands March on AIPAC Headquarters
Authors
5
6 months
Israel
World
Anheuser-Busch InBev Faces Potential Strikes as Teamsters and UAW Threaten Action in Chattanooga, TN Negotiations for Green Economy
Authors
9
7 months
Economics
Business
US Industrial Production Rebounds 0.3% in November; Capacity Utilization at 78.8%
Authors
8
7 months
Economics
Business
UAW Intensifies Efforts, Led by Shawn Fain, to Unionize Tesla and 12 Other Nonunion Automakers in Sweden
Authors
10
7 months
Economics
Business
UAW Pursues Unionization at Volkswagen Tennessee Plant with Over 1,000 Employees, Files Charges Against Honda, Hyundai, and Volkswagen
Authors
9
7 months
Economics
Business
UAW Files Unfair Labor Practice Charges Against Honda, Hyundai, and Volkswagen Over Aggressive Anti-Union Campaigns
Authors
8
7 months
Politics
UAW Files Unfair Labor Charges Against Honda, Hyundai, and Volkswagen Over Anti-Union Campaigns
Authors
7
7 months
Politics
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