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Prediction markets for Origin Energy

Will there be a consensus on the origin of cosmic rays with energies beyond the GZK limit by the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.85%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

140

[ACX 2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 17, 12:00 AM

80.86%chance

707077

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2090

282

[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

Nov 3, 5:26 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

26.94%chance

11292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

947

[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

Oct 13, 4:17 PMJul 2, 5:00 PM

74.38%chance

363184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1230

810

Will the "Carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution" replicate by 2024 August 07?

Aug 7, 6:33 AMAug 7, 2:59 PM

6.85%chance

201833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

730

[ACX 2024] Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 8:00 PM

7.43%chance

746575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

1046

Will any commercial carbon–cement supercapacitors as a scalable bulk energy storage solution become operational by 2025?

Aug 7, 6:43 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

5.16%chance

16648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1606

918

Aliens kill at least one human before 2035

Jul 22, 6:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5.29%chance

12550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

957

Will there be a nuclear power plant in Helsinki by the end of 2036?

Nov 29, 9:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

36.75%chance

9146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

125

☀️ 🏭 When will the US meet the goal of 2¢/kWh for utility-scale photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 3:52 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

7175

Will the ADVANCE Act for nuclear energy become law by the end of 2024?

Apr 21, 3:28 PMJan 3, 4:59 AM

89.02%chance

6621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

593

88

☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 4:21 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM

5104

Articles

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