OECD News

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

May 3, 5:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.65%chance

443204

OptionVotes

YES

1084

892

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

Aug 19, 10:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

81.22%chance

24935

OptionVotes

YES

1374

854

Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?

Sep 29, 1:08 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6.44%chance

112159

OptionVotes

YES

1512

878

How many OECD countries will have court ordered semaglutide drugs (e.g., Ozempic) by the end of 2030

Mar 1, 10:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11212

Which of these countries will be the first to become an OECD member?

Nov 6, 12:33 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

997

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.96%chance

999

OptionVotes

YES

227

167

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.56%chance

8246

OptionVotes

YES

222

141

When will fusion power become viable?

Dec 4, 6:12 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

70.55%chance

523883

OptionVotes

YES

1651

860

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.2%chance

13607

OptionVotes

YES

1250

613

Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?

Mar 24, 1:08 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.7%chance

6813941

OptionVotes

YES

1193

1165

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Mar 24, 12:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

40.4%chance

441419

OptionVotes

YES

1032

922

Will Russia experience negative GDP growth in Q4 of 2024 according to either Rosstat or IMF?

Apr 6, 12:50 PMFeb 28, 12:59 PM

19.2%chance

11359

OptionVotes

YES

1240

896

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OECD News

Prediction markets for OECD

Prediction markets for OECD

Prediction markets for OECD

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?

How many OECD countries will have court ordered semaglutide drugs (e.g., Ozempic) by the end of 2030

Which of these countries will be the first to become an OECD member?

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

When will fusion power become viable?

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Will Russia experience negative GDP growth in Q4 of 2024 according to either Rosstat or IMF?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for OECD

Prediction markets for OECD

Prediction markets for OECD

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?

How many OECD countries will have court ordered semaglutide drugs (e.g., Ozempic) by the end of 2030

Which of these countries will be the first to become an OECD member?

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

When will fusion power become viable?

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Will Russia experience negative GDP growth in Q4 of 2024 according to either Rosstat or IMF?

Latest stories