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Europe Faces Potential Depopulation Catastrophe Amid Falling Birth Rates Below 2.1 Children
Authors
6
3 days
Politics
Prediction markets for OECD
Prediction markets for OECD
Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?
May 3, 5:59 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
45.65%
chance
44
3204
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1084
892
Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?
Aug 19, 10:41 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
82.63%
chance
24
1228
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1472
832
Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?
Sep 29, 1:08 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
6.44%
chance
11
2159
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1512
878
How many OECD countries will have court ordered semaglutide drugs (e.g., Ozempic) by the end of 2030
Mar 1, 10:15 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11
212
Which of these countries will be the first to become an OECD member?
Nov 6, 12:33 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
9
97
Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?
Dec 27, 4:20 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
31.96%
chance
9
99
Option
Votes
YES
NO
227
167
Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?
Jan 13, 12:30 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
18.56%
chance
8
246
Option
Votes
YES
NO
222
141
What world events will happen before Biden leaves office?
Jun 20, 9:49 AM
Jan 21, 7:59 AM
69
10005
When will fusion power become viable?
Dec 4, 6:12 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
70.55%
chance
52
3883
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1651
860
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
49.2%
chance
13
607
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1250
613
Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?
Mar 24, 1:08 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
82.7%
chance
68
13941
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1193
1165
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
Mar 24, 12:48 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
40.4%
chance
44
1419
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1032
922
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