OCC News

OCNW

OCCAM NETWORKS INC

OCNW

OCCAM NETWORKS INC

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]

Nov 29, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

4278

OptionVotes

YES

280

The first human brain upload able to remember a password will occur by ... ?

Nov 5, 11:49 PMNov 23, 10:59 PM

231799

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?

Dec 10, 12:03 PMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

15%chance

5020032

OptionVotes

YES

984

903

How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?

Mar 6, 11:24 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6619

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]

Nov 29, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.97%chance

232414

OptionVotes

YES

1585

880

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Mar 3, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.14%chance

416608

OptionVotes

YES

2334

1620

If Joe Biden wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?

Dec 10, 12:03 PMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

12%chance

201215

OptionVotes

YES

1046

971

[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Feb 26, 8:56 AMAug 12, 10:00 PM

26.24%chance

241400

OptionVotes

YES

1316

845

Will fast takeoff (less than 72 hours from AGI to ASI) occur (before 2050)?

May 17, 5:25 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.6%chance

343751

OptionVotes

YES

1345

744

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

Jun 3, 12:31 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

74.12%chance

10868

OptionVotes

YES

1692

591

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Jan 11, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.51%chance

231046

OptionVotes

YES

1122

682

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Jan 17, 1:38 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.65%chance

291945

OptionVotes

YES

1032

959

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OCC News

Prediction markets for OCC

Prediction markets for OCC

Prediction markets for OCC

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]

The first human brain upload able to remember a password will occur by ... ?

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?

How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

If Joe Biden wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?

[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Will fast takeoff (less than 72 hours from AGI to ASI) occur (before 2050)?

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for OCC

Prediction markets for OCC

Prediction markets for OCC

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]

The first human brain upload able to remember a password will occur by ... ?

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?

How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

If Joe Biden wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?