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Top stories

Biden Campaign Refuses Pre-Debate Drug Test; Trump Agrees
Authors
8
18 hours
Washington DC
Celebrities
Politics

Prediction markets for New York Post

Which of the following media outlets will close or undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?

Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13706

Which of these Newspapers will publish an article mentioning Manifold before 2024 end?

Oct 10, 5:39 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

9356

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

18.48%chance

23779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21374

20854

Will there be an act of terrorism using drones in Paris during the Olympics between July 24 - August 11?

Jun 11, 12:15 AMAug 13, 4:59 AM

10.28%chance

5725913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29479

3521

Will Elon Musk get his own Hunter Biden laptop scandal in 2024?

Dec 22, 2:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

17.31%chance

37219116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5324

2660

Will Hollywood have its worst summer at the box office since 2000?

May 10, 2:13 PMSep 3, 6:59 AM

46.56%chance

13737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1058

946

By the start of 2026, will at least 10 people have been permanently cured of HIV?

Nov 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

74.99%chance

29916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

966

Will the New York Times use the word “polycule” in another heading or subheading in 2024?

Apr 17, 1:36 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.43%chance

13154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

988

If Trump defeats Biden in the 2024 election, will the media consensus be that Biden wasn't right-wing enough?

Nov 20, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.16%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

915

At midnight Nov 5th, will NYT's Needle calling a higher probability of victory to a democrat presidential candidate?

Apr 8, 5:11 PMNov 6, 2:59 AM

40.94%chance

12560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

710

Will the New York Times quit Twitter before the end of 2024?

Oct 5, 8:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.66%chance

321648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

927

Will One Of The Top 5 American Newspapers Use The Word "Transbian" By August 2024?

Aug 10, 7:13 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

32.88%chance

431832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

748

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