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Top stories

Pentagon Moves Military Assets Closer to Israel and Lebanon for Evacuations Amid Rising Tensions: NBC
Authors
20
10 hours
Israel
Middle East
Economics
Around 40 Rockets Fired from Lebanon by Hezbollah Intercepted by Iron Dome
Authors
5
13 hours
Israel
World
Israeli Air Force Strikes Hezbollah Targets in Southern Lebanon, Killing Three
Authors
8
18 hours
Israel
Middle East
World
Israel's Cross-Border Hostilities with Hezbollah Displace 95k, Devastate 5 km-wide Strip in Lebanon
Authors
4
15 hours
Israel
Middle East
Natural Disasters
Netanyahu and IAF Commander Bar Signal End of Gaza Conflict, Readiness Against Hezbollah on June 27
Authors
7
14 hours
Israel
Middle East
World
Israel Warns Lebanon and Hezbollah of Potential 'Stone Age' Conflict, UN Cautions
Authors
14
21 hours
Israel
Middle East
Washington DC
U.S. Intel via Politico Warns of Imminent War Between Israel and Hezbollah if No Cease-Fire
Authors
7
13 hours
Israel
Middle East
World
Israeli Airstrikes Hit Sayyidah Zaynab in Damascus, Killing Three Including Two Iranians
Authors
13
1 day
Israel
Middle East
Economics
Israeli Airstrike on Hezbollah-Linked Building in Southern Lebanon Causes Casualties on Wednesday Night
Authors
9
1 day
Israel
Middle East
Crime
Dutch and German Governments Urge Citizens to Leave Lebanon Amid Escalating Tensions with Israel
Authors
32
2 days
Israel
World
Politics
Iran Expresses Reservations Over Iraqi Militias' Support for Hezbollah Amid Rising Tensions, Militias on High Alert
Authors
4
2 days
Israel
Middle East
World
Benny Gantz Claims IDF Can Destroy Hezbollah’s Military Capabilities in Days, Warns of Heavy Price
Authors
6
3 days
Israel
Middle East
World

Prediction markets for Hezbollah

Will Hezbollah attack Cyprus before EOY 2025?

Jun 20, 12:49 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

30.17%chance

125984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12347

8581

Will Hezbollah directly engage in combat operations against Israel?

Oct 7, 8:18 PMNov 28, 4:59 AM

70.8%chance

534193513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4366

3577

Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah before the end of 2024?

Jun 5, 7:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.81%chance

15721782

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

737

Will Hezbollah launch a missile at Tel Aviv in 2024?

Jan 2, 5:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.02%chance

333149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1350

816

[Metaculus] Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?

Apr 10, 2:50 PMJan 2, 2:34 PM

69.16%chance

12481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1204

859

Will Hezbollah withdraw its forces beyond the Litani river by the end of 2024?

Dec 21, 10:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.79%chance

171480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

901

Israel-Hezbollah conflict killing >400 before 2024? And US and Iran at war before 2025?

Nov 1, 1:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3611847

Will Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah die before 2025?

Oct 31, 12:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.56%chance

5185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

295

62

Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?

May 8, 8:22 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

49.07%chance

161487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will Hezbollah attack northern Israel before Sept. 2024, similarly to how Hamas attacked southern Israel on October 7?

Apr 29, 3:16 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

16.76%chance

9231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

479

230

One month from today, will Israel have declared war on Hezbollah or Lebanon?

Jun 15, 6:13 AMJul 16, 3:59 AM

30.58%chance

10581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Which of the following entities will strike/attack Israel before the end of 2024? [add responses]

Apr 15, 12:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15927

Articles

Latest stories

Pentagon Moves Military Assets Closer to Israel and Lebanon for Evacuations Amid Rising Tensions: NBC
Authors
20
10 hours
Israel
Middle East
Economics
U.S. Intel via Politico Warns of Imminent War Between Israel and Hezbollah if No Cease-Fire
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7
13 hours
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Israeli Airstrikes Hit Sayyidah Zaynab in Damascus, Killing Three Including Two Iranians
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13
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Economics
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US C-17 Lands at Ben Gurion Airport Amidst Hezbollah Tensions
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Greek Foreign Minister Condemns Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah Threats Against Cyprus
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EU's Borrell Warns of Hezbollah Conflict Risk Escalation, Israeli-Lebanese War, Gaza Conflict
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US Military Leader Warns of Iranian Response to Israeli Offensive into Lebanon
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Israeli Offensive in Lebanon Raises Risk of Broader Conflict with Iran, Threatening Hezbollah and US Forces
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