Global News News

📆What will happen in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]

Dec 14, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26282041

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.29%chance

111709

OptionVotes

YES

4632

4000

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.38%chance

213391

OptionVotes

YES

3809

3207

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Aug 24, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.53%chance

642821

OptionVotes

YES

1257

1245

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?

Nov 24, 11:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.4%chance

13612544

OptionVotes

YES

1626

905

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more nation states in the middle east before 2025? [Note nation states]

Nov 4, 10:57 AMNov 9, 11:59 PM

20.44%chance

966632

OptionVotes

YES

1908

495

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.87%chance

16939

OptionVotes

YES

1012

919

Will North Korea collapse before the end of 2030?

Dec 28, 1:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.62%chance

20914

OptionVotes

YES

1060

954

Will North Korea collapse before the end of 2025?

Dec 17, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9%chance

211332

OptionVotes

YES

1269

913

By 2050, will autonomous robots completely replace human soldiers in frontline combat roles?⚔️🤖⚔️

Feb 3, 1:28 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.68%chance

181427

OptionVotes

YES

1577

853

Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]

Dec 15, 7:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

299835

Will construction of The Line finish before La Sagrada Familia?

Apr 14, 9:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.1%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

250

107

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📆What will happen in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more nation states in the middle east before 2025? [Note nation states]

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Will North Korea collapse before the end of 2030?

Will North Korea collapse before the end of 2025?

By 2050, will autonomous robots completely replace human soldiers in frontline combat roles?⚔️🤖⚔️

Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]

Will construction of The Line finish before La Sagrada Familia?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Global News

Prediction markets for Global News

Prediction markets for Global News

📆What will happen in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Will increasing levels of AI/Automation cause a meaningful reduction in sweatshop labor by 2035?

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?

Will there be a conflict between 3 or more nation states in the middle east before 2025? [Note nation states]

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?