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Top stories

Justice Dept Seeks Significant Sentences for Capitol Riot Defendants, Including 30 Months and 2.5 Years
Authors
5
12 days
Crime
Politics
Culture

Prediction markets for Feds

When will the FED pivot (lower interest rates)?

Jun 13, 11:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

147297553

Will the next change to the fed funds rate be upward?

Sep 4, 2:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.17%chance

5146207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4215

363

[ACX 2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM

9.35%chance

817610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3444

519

Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points

Jan 3, 4:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

324263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1487

315

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

28.42%chance

10171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

953

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

75.92%chance

15694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

937

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.07%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1165

940

The US Fed will do a rate cut before the US Presidential election.

Jul 27, 10:08 AMNov 5, 6:29 PM

47.84%chance

537376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

639

Will the fed balance sheet be bigger on april 10. 2025 than april 6. 2023?

Apr 24, 1:12 AMApr 10, 9:59 PM

19.7%chance

12479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

948

Will FED cut rates at their November 2024 meeting?

Dec 14, 1:37 AMNov 7, 10:59 PM

33.75%chance

14355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

915

Will FED cut rates at their July 2024 meeting?

Dec 14, 1:34 AMJul 31, 9:59 PM

12.52%chance

191708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

721

Will FED cut rates at their September 2024 meeting?

Dec 14, 1:36 AMSep 28, 9:59 PM

26.72%chance

14684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1344

811

Articles

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