Electoral News

Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?

Oct 11, 6:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.37%chance

12826

OptionVotes

YES

997

988

[ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 2, 6:00 PM

60.89%chance

1359405

OptionVotes

YES

1947

636

[French snap legislative 2024] RN has absolute majority (including in electoral union with other parties)

Jun 9, 11:39 PMJul 5, 9:59 PM

25.86%chance

4116092

OptionVotes

YES

1693

591

Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?

Feb 6, 11:18 PMNov 9, 7:59 AM

49.92%chance

742452

OptionVotes

YES

1457

1003

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election lose the electoral vote?

Jan 6, 7:49 PMJan 20, 7:00 PM

28.36%chance

18493

OptionVotes

YES

1009

988

Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election win at least 300 Electoral Votes?

Dec 29, 5:55 PMDec 15, 7:59 AM

51.09%chance

13154

OptionVotes

YES

1006

993

Will RFK Jr. win at least 1 state elector in the US 2024 Presidential Election

Oct 24, 10:35 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

16.99%chance

181559

OptionVotes

YES

1230

933

Will the 2024 election be extremely close? (Within eight electoral votes of a tie)

Jan 23, 4:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.65%chance

502789

OptionVotes

YES

1044

969

🇺🇸 If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?

Mar 11, 3:59 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

72.67%chance

14527

OptionVotes

YES

1104

943

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?

Nov 1, 9:06 PMJan 9, 5:59 AM

75.14%chance

17871

OptionVotes

YES

1017

982

🇺🇸 If Biden wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?

Mar 11, 4:04 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

27.62%chance

10260

OptionVotes

YES

1107

939

Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Oct 29, 12:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.61%chance

27665

OptionVotes

YES

1235

906

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Electoral News

Prediction markets for Electoral

Prediction markets for Electoral

Prediction markets for Electoral

Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?

[ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

[French snap legislative 2024] RN has absolute majority (including in electoral union with other parties)

Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election lose the electoral vote?

Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election win at least 300 Electoral Votes?

Will RFK Jr. win at least 1 state elector in the US 2024 Presidential Election

Will the 2024 election be extremely close? (Within eight electoral votes of a tie)

🇺🇸 If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?

🇺🇸 If Biden wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?

Will the US effectively abolish the Electoral College for presidential elections by 2040?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Electoral

Prediction markets for Electoral

Prediction markets for Electoral

Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?

[ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

[French snap legislative 2024] RN has absolute majority (including in electoral union with other parties)

Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election lose the electoral vote?

Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election win at least 300 Electoral Votes?

Will RFK Jr. win at least 1 state elector in the US 2024 Presidential Election