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CLIMW

CLIMATE REAL IMPACT SOLUTIONS II ACQUISITION CORP

CLIMW

CLIMATE REAL IMPACT SOLUTIONS II ACQUISITION CORP

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

4.23%chance

377373

OptionVotes

YES

1186

653

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

71.59%chance

28031204

OptionVotes

YES

3751

3641

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.48%chance

22714708

OptionVotes

YES

2634

1483

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.15%chance

13887052

OptionVotes

YES

4295

3381

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Oct 17, 6:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.95%chance

221351

OptionVotes

YES

1355

855

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Apr 17, 3:47 PMDec 17, 9:59 PM

18.76%chance

11010549

OptionVotes

YES

2261

971

Will climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jun 24, 10:58 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.36%chance

242774

OptionVotes

YES

1539

935

Will non violent climate activism be prosecuted as terrorism by 2026?

Jan 15, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.43%chance

19652

OptionVotes

YES

1057

968

Will stratospheric aerosol injection be deployed in order to combat climate change before 2040?

Jun 1, 12:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.25%chance

12443

OptionVotes

YES

1090

955

Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2100?

Feb 2, 6:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.05%chance

14284

OptionVotes

YES

1026

981

Will climate change be discussed in all official 2024 U.S. Presidential debates?

Jun 18, 10:21 PMNov 30, 2:59 AM

73.57%chance

18637

OptionVotes

YES

1007

977

Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?

Nov 25, 9:13 AMSep 9, 9:59 PM

29.45%chance

14280

OptionVotes

YES

1097

945

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Prediction markets for Climate

Prediction markets for Climate

Prediction markets for Climate

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Will climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?

Will non violent climate activism be prosecuted as terrorism by 2026?

Will stratospheric aerosol injection be deployed in order to combat climate change before 2040?

Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2100?

Will climate change be discussed in all official 2024 U.S. Presidential debates?

Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Climate

Prediction markets for Climate

Prediction markets for Climate

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Should smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Will climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?