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Prediction markets for Citi

Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?

Feb 13, 8:04 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

70.09%chance

38165595

OptionVotes

YES

11743

6690

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.43%chance

9811726

OptionVotes

YES

2528

1892

Will Manchester City be severely punished by the Premier League?

Feb 4, 3:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.94%chance

24810

OptionVotes

YES

2047

1810

Will Saudi Arabia abandon (or vastly scale back) the NEOM linear city project by 2028?

Feb 18, 11:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.51%chance

13734424

OptionVotes

YES

3003

1078

Will any city >50k have energy "too cheap to meter" by 2035?

Aug 2, 2:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.24%chance

121930

OptionVotes

YES

1129

955

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.06%chance

11410309

OptionVotes

YES

2250

1167

Will AI-operated haircuts be bookable in at least two cities by the end of 2025?

Sep 26, 9:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.44%chance

301519

OptionVotes

YES

1404

922

Detroit LVT: Will newly city-owned properties experience less development than they have in prior years? (2028)

Oct 13, 3:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

60.6%chance

343

OptionVotes

YES

1207

1177

Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line

Jan 31, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.2%chance

3517427

OptionVotes

YES

1026

838

Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?

Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.76%chance

392168

OptionVotes

YES

1512

821

Will 5,000+ people live in the city of Praxis before 2030?

Sep 18, 5:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.61%chance

382776

OptionVotes

YES

1642

1023

Will a city ban manually driven cars on at least one public road/lane by 2030?

May 23, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.24%chance

14416

OptionVotes

YES

1014

901

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