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Beavers News
Prediction markets for Beavers
Prediction markets for Beavers
Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?
Jan 30, 4:41 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
31.6%
chance
73
6769
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1956
712
Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?
Jan 31, 5:10 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
47.28%
chance
14
462
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1184
729
Will there be an official Hundreds of Beavers video game released by the end of 2027?
Jun 2, 2:20 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
45.97%
chance
6
219
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1084
922
Will the fifth Busy Beaver still be thought to be proven to be 47,176,870 at the end of 2025?
Jul 4, 1:30 AM
Dec 16, 7:59 AM
94.6%
chance
10
3226
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4187
239
Is it possible to prove which Busy Beaver number is the highest that can be determined?
Oct 18, 8:15 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
45%
chance
7
69
Option
Votes
YES
NO
130
90
Which Busy Beaver machine will be proven next?
Jul 2, 9:52 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
3
504
Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(5) be known before 2030?
Jan 30, 4:41 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
99%
chance
48
18012
Option
Votes
NO
YES
12147
271
What is the first input for which the Busy Beaver function exceeds the Ackermann function?
Jan 31, 5:13 AM
Dec 26, 5:59 AM
28.02%
chance
5
295
Option
Votes
YES
NO
420
286
How will Isaac King resolve his "What is the largest number?" market?
Dec 31, 2:37 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4
139
Manifold's Favorite: CHEESE (resolves by poll EOY 2024)
Jan 7, 10:29 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
33
4701
Will wolves be reintroduced to the UK by the end of 2035?
Apr 6, 5:31 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 PM
50.67%
chance
7
86
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
103
Will bears be reintroduced to the UK by the end of 2040?
Apr 6, 5:31 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 PM
38.78%
chance
9
135
Option
Votes
NO
YES
149
145
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