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Prediction markets for ARTIF
Prediction markets for ARTIF
This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.
Dec 11, 5:49 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
56%
chance
262
537890
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3215
1581
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Jul 28, 5:52 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
38.67%
chance
298
84067
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4218
4034
IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Jul 31, 11:41 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
29%
chance
50
2368
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1182
837
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
201
82990
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
515
325994
In which year will Artificial General Rationalussy become available?
Oct 14, 9:19 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
13
3805
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
Feb 22, 7:11 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
208
30648
Mammal born from artificial womb by 2030?
Dec 31, 2:00 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.97%
chance
118
10864
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4206
621
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
Dec 16, 8:03 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
52.17%
chance
107
16596
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1144
986
Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the NEXT Millennium Problem?
Aug 16, 4:34 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
51.01%
chance
60
4638
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1098
857
Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?
Nov 4, 7:21 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
71.78%
chance
13
661
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1009
943
Will an artificial intelligence create a work of art of its own volition before 2050?
Oct 30, 4:06 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
72.76%
chance
10
190
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1042
976
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Jeff Iorg elected as SBC Executive Committee CEO amid Leatherwood CP funds controversy
Authors
4
4 months
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