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Top stories

Zelensky Dismisses Second Top General Sodol Amid Criticism, Visits Donetsk Frontline
Authors
31
2 days
Ukraine
World
Politics
Putin Dismisses Four Deputy Defense Ministers, Appoints Billionaire Niece and Former PM's Son
Authors
28
11 days
Ukraine
World
Pentagon Renews $14.1M SpaceX Starlink Contract for Ukraine
Authors
5
15 days
Ukraine
World
Armed Forces Consider Changes to Agniveer Scheme, Increase Retention Percentage Amid Feedback from Coalition Partners
Authors
5
15 days
India
World

Prediction markets for Armed Forces

[ACX 2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

6%chance

808703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1614

1040

[ACX 2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

16.22%chance

663807

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1292

986

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.52%chance

674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

79

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 3 between 2020 and 2030?

Mar 14, 8:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.23%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

81

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?

Oct 24, 7:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.62%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

86

Will Oleksandr Syrsky still be the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on January 1, 2025?

Feb 8, 8:13 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.3%chance

8185

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

107

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 2 between 2020 and 2030?

Mar 14, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55%chance

231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

80

Will a Taiwanese armed forces pilot defect to China with their aircraft before 2030?

Dec 12, 2:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.86%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

109

Will Oleksandr Syrsky still be the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Feb 8, 8:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

53.38%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

120

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Oct 24, 7:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Oct 24, 7:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

19.84%chance

6154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

55

Will the Supreme Commander of the Swedish Armed Forces resign before his appointment expires in September 2024?

Jan 20, 11:36 AMOct 1, 9:59 PM

5.2%chance

9725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

634

70

Articles

Latest stories

Zelensky Dismisses Second Top General Sodol Amid Criticism, Visits Donetsk Frontline
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